The Los Angeles Clippers (16-19) will attempt to continue their five-game home winning streak in a matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies (12-25) at Staples Center. The game starts at 10:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 2, 2018, and will air on NBATV.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 204.5 points with Los Angeles set as a 5-point favorite.
Memphis Grizzlies at Los Angeles Clippers Betting Prediction
The last time the Grizzlies played, they blew out the Sacramento Kings, 114-96. Memphis’ free throw rate was their largest advantage over Sacramento. The Grizzlies had a rate of 0.237 (above their season average of 0.216), while the Kings posted a mark of 0.151 (below the 0.242 mark opponents have averaged against Memphis this season). With 26 points on 10-for-16 shooting, Tyreke Evans was the game’s leading scorer.
The Clippers beat the Charlotte Hornets in their last outing, 106-98. Los Angeles made good use of their 27 trips to the charity stripe, converting on 24 of them (88.9 percent). Charlotte, meanwhile, was 15-19 (78.9 percent). Lou Williams was the game’s high scorer with 40 points on 12-for-21 shooting.
Los Angeles should have an edge on the offensive glass in this contest. The Clippers are among the league’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking eighth in offensive rebounding percentage at 23.9 percent. Meanwhile, Memphis ranks 26th in the NBA at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 76.1 percent.
Memphis heads into the contest with records of 12-25 straight up (SU) and 13-22-2 against the spread (ATS). Games including the Grizzlies have a tendency to go under the total (62.2 percent).
Meanwhile, Los Angeles is 16-19 SU and 19-15-1 ATS. Of the Clippers’ 35 games, 17 have finished over the total.
Both teams have had a player take their game to the next level over their last five games. Evans (26.4 points, 7.4 assists, 6.2 rebounds and 1.2 steals) has been great for the Grizzlies while Williams (26.0 points and 3.4 assists) has contributed greatly to the Clippers.
The Grizzlies have emerged victorious in both games against the Clippers this year, escaping with a close three-point victory in their last matchup. Memphis covered as a 3-point favorite and the game finished with a total of 227 points, which was 29 points above the projected point total of 198 points. Memphis out-rebounded Los Angeles. The Grizzlies had 15 offensive rebounds and 47 total rebounds, while the Clippers had five and 36, respectively. In the loss, Austin Rivers led all scorers with 38 points.
Memphis Grizzlies at Los Angeles Clippers ATS Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Clippers, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
Memphis is 8-9-1 ATS on the road with 9 unders, 8 overs and 1 push.
Los Angeles is 9-7 ATS at home with 8 overs, 7 unders and 1 push.
In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Los Angeles is 10-2 and Memphis is 9-8.
The Clippers are 14-12 when they score above 100 points, while the Grizzlies are 7-7.
Los Angeles ranks fourth in second chance points per game (14.4) while Memphis ranks 25th (10.4).
The Grizzlies average 13.2 fast break points per game, which ranks 10th in the league. The Clippers rank 28th in fast break points allowed per game (13.8).
Memphis ranks fourth in blocks per game (5.3) while Los Angeles ranks 19th in blocks allowed per game (5.1).
The Grizzlies rank fifth in assists allowed per game (20.9) while the Clippers rank 20th (23.8).
Los Angeles ranks 15th in rebounds per game (43.7) while Memphis ranks 29th (39.6).
The Grizzlies rank 13th in points off turnovers per game (16.8) while the Clippers rank 18th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.8).
Memphis averages 7.3 steals per game, which ranks 20th in the NBA. Los Angeles ranks 24th in steals allowed per game (8.2).
The Clippers average 30.1 three pointers per game, which ranks ninth in the league. The Grizzlies rank 12th in three pointers allowed per game (27.6).
Memphis ranks third in points allowed in the paint per game (40.5) while Los Angeles ranks fifth (41.5).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Memphis is 3-1-1 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Los Angeles is 4-0-1 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over their last five games.
The Grizzlies have outscored opponents by an average of 3.2 points in their last five games. On the season, Memphis has been defeated by an average of 3.4 points.
During their last five games, the Clippers have scored an average of 117.8 points per game (12.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 106.4 points per game (0.7 above their season average).
