The Minnesota Timberwolves (45-35) clash against the Memphis Grizzlies (22-58) at Target Center. The game can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, April 9, 2018.
Memphis Grizzlies at Minnesota Timberwolves Free Prediction
The Grizzlies will be looking for similar success after topping the Detroit Pistons in their last outing, 130-117. Memphis’ 0.675 effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Detroit, who had a rate of 0.532. The Grizzlies’ mark was above their season average of 0.497. Marc Gasol was a key piece for Memphis with 20 points, nine rebounds and nine assists.
The last time the Timberwolves played, they beat the Los Angeles Lakers, 113-96. The Timberwolves had an absurdly low turnover percentage of 4.3 (better than their season average of 10.9) and held the Lakers to an effective field goal percentage of 0.443 (below their season average of 0.519). With 14 points and 11 rebounds, Karl-Anthony Towns put together a solid game for Minnesota.
Minnesota could dominate on the offensive side of the ball as their high-powered offense squares off against one of the worst defenses in the NBA. The Timberwolves rank fourth in offensive efficiency, while Memphis ranks 23rd in defensive efficiency. Ball protection could be troublesome for the Grizzlies. They rank 27th at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 14.9 percent), while the Timberwolves force the fifth-most turnovers in the league (opponents’ turnover percentage of 14.7 percent).
Memphis holds records of 22-58 straight up (SU) and 33-43-3 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Grizzlies games, with 42 unders compared to 36 overs.
Meanwhile, Minnesota owns records of 45-35 SU and 36-41-3 ATS. Of the Timberwolves’ 80 games, 44 have finished over the total.
The Grizzlies have emerged victorious in both contests against the Timberwolves this year, including a 101-93 victory the last time these teams met. Memphis covered as a 13-point underdog and the game finished with a total of 194 points, which was 21 points below the projected point total of 215 points. Memphis was lights out from beyond the arc (15-31; 48.4 percent). Minnesota, on the other hand, did an excellent job of converting from the free throw line (19-24; 79.2 percent). Gasol recorded a double-double with 20 points and 10 rebounds.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Odds Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Timberwolves, ATS Winner – Timberwolves, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
Memphis is 16-21-2 ATS on the road with 22 overs, 16 unders and 1 push.
Minnesota is 19-19-1 ATS at home with 23 overs, 15 unders and 1 push.
In games where they allow under 100 points, Minnesota is 18-4 and Memphis is 13-12.
The Grizzlies are 17-22 when they reach the century mark, while the Timberwolves are 42-22.
Minnesota ranks fifth in points in the paint per game (49.1) while Memphis ranks 25th (42.2).
The Timberwolves rank first in steals allowed per game (6.4) while the Grizzlies rank 20th (8.1).
Minnesota averages 17.6 points off turnovers per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. Memphis ranks 20th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.3).
The Grizzlies rank 11th in fast break points per game (13.1) while the Timberwolves rank 23rd in fast break points allowed per game (13.1).
Minnesota ranks 19th in assists per game (22.6) while Memphis ranks 26th (21.6).
The Grizzlies rank 24th in three pointers attempted per game (26.3) while the Timberwolves rank last (22.5).
Minnesota ranks third in rebounds allowed per game (41.8) while Memphis ranks eighth (42.4).
The Grizzlies rank 18th in second chance points per game (11.7) while the Timberwolves rank 20th in second chance points allowed per game (12.9).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Memphis is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Minnesota is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Grizzlies’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 8.2, up from 6.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the Timberwolves have scored an average of 105.0 points per game (4.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 104.6 points per game (2.9 below their season average).
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