The Atlanta Hawks (36-29) will be at home when they face off against the Memphis Grizzlies (39-26). Action begins at 7:30 pm ET on Saturday, Mar. 12 and can be seen on FxS.
The Hawks are hoping for a better outcome after their 104-96 loss to the Raptors on Thursday. Al Horford was the team’s leading scorer with 20 points. The Grizzlies, meanwhile, are coming off a 121-114 win against the Pelicans on Friday. Lance Stephenson led the team in scoring by registering 33 points on 12-for-20 shooting.
This is the second game of the year between these two teams, with the Hawks winning the first matchup 116-101. Paul Millsap put up a double-double in the victory with 23 points and 14 rebounds.
The Hawks come into this game 36-29 Straight Up (SU) and 32-31-2 Against The Spread (ATS). Over their last 10 games, they have had success covering the spread (7-3). Atlanta’s defense can be considered one of the best in the league. The Hawks allow a .435 opponent field-goal percentage, one of the lowest shooting rates in the league. Atlanta is one of the league’s top scoring teams off turnovers with an average of 19.2 points per game. Atlanta will look to take advantage of the Grizzlies and their propensity to foul. Memphis ranks 27th in the league in fouls, averaging 22.4 per game.
Over on the other bench, the Grizzlies have 39-26 SU and 32-30-3 ATS records. Against the Eastern Conference, Memphis is 39-26 SU and 32-30-3 ATS. The Grizzlies convert their free throws at a high percentage, ranking fifth in the league at .790. Moving on to Memphis’s defense, teams with weak ball handling have not fared well against the Grizzlies, who rank fifth in the league with 8.9 steals per game.
Atlanta beat Memphis in their most recent meeting this season, bumping its SU record to 6-4 over the Grizzlies in their last 10 meetings. The teams are even ATS, with a 5-5 record.
Predictions: SU Winner – Mem
Notes
“Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games “.
“Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games “.
“The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta’s last 8 games “.
“Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home”.
“Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home”.
“Atlanta is 12-5-1 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Memphis”.
“Atlanta is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing Memphis”.
“Atlanta is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Memphis”.
“Atlanta is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Memphis”.
Memphis’ offense and Atlanta’s defense are well matched, ranking zeroth in points per game and points allowed per game respectively. Memphis scores an average of 0.0 points per game, while Atlanta allows 0.0 points per game.
Memphis and Atlanta are well matched, ranking zeroth in points per away game and points allowed at home respectively. Memphis puts up an average of 0.0 points on the road, while Atlanta gives up 0.0 points at home on average.
When allowing fewer than 100 points, the Grizzlies are 26-8 on the season. When the Hawks score fewer than 100, they are an underachieving 7-22.
When the Memphis Grizzlies allow at least 100 points they are 13-18, while the Atlanta Hawks are 29-7 when they reach the century mark.
The Hawks have a defensive rating of 99.9, second-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies also rank in the top half of the league for their offensive rating of 103.8 (ranked 13th).
The Atlanta Hawks have one of the best field goal percentages this season, ranking ninth in the league with a FG% of 45.9%. When their opponents have a similar or higher FG%, the Memphis Grizzlies are 12-15.
Atlanta attempts an average of 27.0 three pointers per game, and Memphis attempts 18.0 per game. In games where the teams have 25 or more three point attempts, the Hawks have a 19-23 record while the Grizzlies have a 3-2 record.
Atlanta has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.72 this season (ranked ninth), while Memphis ranks lower at 11th with an A/TO of 1.69.
The Atlanta Hawks and the Memphis Grizzlies are two of the worst rebounding teams in the NBA. Atlanta is ranked 27th with 41.6 rebounds per game, and Memphis ranks 29th with 40.9.
Atlanta is ranked 18th in defensive rebounds, while Memphis ranks 21st in offensive rebounds.
On average, the Hawks force a turnover rate of 15.9%, ranked third in the NBA. When the Grizzlies turn over the ball at a similar or higher rate, the team has a solid 8-5 record.
