The Brooklyn Nets (8-14) welcome the Memphis Grizzlies (12-8) to Barclays Center as they look to snap their five-game home losing streak. The game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, November 30, 2018, and will air on YES Network.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Brooklyn Nets Free Prediction
The Grizzlies are hoping for a better outcome after failing to cover as 5.5-point underdogs in their 122-114 loss to the Toronto Raptors in their last outing. The combined points for the game (236) finished well over the projected point total of 208.5. Getting to the charity stripe was one of Toronto’s largest advantages. They had 28 free throw attempts, while Memphis had 21. Marc Gasol was the game’s leading scorer with 27 points on 10-for-14 shooting.
The last time the Nets were in action, they fell to the Utah Jazz, 101-91. They failed to cover as 3.5-point underdogs. The total points for the game (192) came in well under the O/U total of 215. Utah’s 0.530 effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Brooklyn, who had a mark of 0.413. The Jazz’s mark was above their season average of 0.514, while the Nets’ was below their season average of 0.518. Brooklyn’s Rondae Hollis-Jefferson put up 14 points and 11 rebounds in the contest.
After the Nets won both matchups against the Grizzlies last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last contest, Brooklyn won 118-115. One of Brooklyn’s largest advantages was getting to the charity stripe. They had 40 free throw attempts, while Memphis had just 20.
Memphis comes into the game with records of 12-8 straight up (SU) and 12-8 against the spread (ATS). Vegas tends to set the total high when the Grizzlies are playing, as 11 of their 20 contests have ended under the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Brooklyn is 8-14 SU and 10-12 ATS. It’s tough to find a trend for games including the Nets in regards to the O/U total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
Both teams have had a player take their game to the next level over their last five games. Gasol (23 points,11.8 rebounds,4.0 assists,2.6 blocks,1.4 steals) has been great for the Grizzlies while Spencer Dinwiddie (19 points,6.8 assists) has contributed greatly to the Nets.
Half-court execution will be critical when two of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams battle. Brooklyn ranks 22nd in possessions per game (101.7) and Memphis is 30th (98.2). The Grizzlies should have an advantage in terms of ball protection. They rank 3rd at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.7 percent). Conversely, the Nets force the seventh-fewest turnovers in the league (opponents’ turnover percentage of 13.2 percent).
Memphis Grizzlies at Brooklyn Nets Free Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Nets, ATS Winner – Nets, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Memphis is 5-5 ATS on the road with 6 unders and 4 overs.
Brooklyn is 3-7 ATS at home with 6 overs and 4 unders.
In contests where they hold opponents below 100 points, Memphis is 6-2 and Brooklyn is 4-0.
The Grizzlies are 9-4 when they reach 100 points, while the Nets are 8-12.
Brooklyn ranks second in fast break points allowed per game (10.5) while Memphis ranks 28th (16.5).
The Grizzlies rank third in second chance points allowed per game (11.3) while the Nets rank 28th (16.3).
Memphis ranks fourth in points off turnovers per game (19.6) while Brooklyn ranks 26th (14.7).
The Grizzlies rank fourth in steals per game (9.0) while the Nets rank 25th (6.7).
Brooklyn ranks sixth in three pointers attempted per game (34.2) while Memphis ranks 25th (27.8).
The Nets rank 16 in rebounds per game (44.59090909090909) while the Grizzlies rank 29 (39.25).
Memphis ranks 3 in points allowed in the paint per game (42.6) while Brooklyn ranks 12 (47.81818181818182).
The Nets rank 1 in assists allowed per game (21) while the Grizzlies rank 7 (22.8).
Memphis ranks 8 in blocks per game (5.95) while Brooklyn ranks 11 in blocks allowed per game (4.909090909090909).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five games, Memphis is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Brooklyn is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Grizzlies have been outscored by an average of 1.4 points in their last five games. On the season, Memphis has defeated opponents by an average of 1.6 points.
During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 107.0 points per game (2.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 110.2 points per game (0.8 below their season average).
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