The Detroit Pistons (23-26) go head-to-head with the Memphis Grizzlies (18-32) at Little Caesars Arena. The game can be seen on Fox Sports – Detroit at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 1, 2018.
Memphis Grizzlies at Detroit Pistons Betting Prediction
In the Grizzlies’ last matchup, they were defeated by the Indiana Pacers, 105-101. One of Indiana’s biggest strengths was getting to the free throw line. They had 31 free throw attempts, while Memphis had just 15. Memphis’ Marc Gasol had a good game, recording 23 points, nine rebounds and six assists.
The Pistons beat the Cleveland Cavaliers in their last outing, 125-114. The Pistons forced 15 turnovers and held the Cavaliers to an offensive rebounding percentage of 15.2 (below the 21.8 mark opponents have averaged against Detroit this season). With 21 points, 22 rebounds and seven assists, Andre Drummond put together a solid outing for Detroit.
Half-court execution will be critical when two of the league’s slowest-paced teams go head-to-head. Detroit currently ranks 21st in possessions per game (98.0) and Memphis is 30th (95.7).
Memphis holds records of 18-32 straight up (SU) and 21-26-2 against the spread (ATS). Vegas is known to place the total high when the Grizzlies are involved, as 57.1 percent of their games have finished under the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Detroit owns records of 23-26 SU and 25-22-2 ATS. Pistons games also have typically gone under the total (55.1 percent).
Drummond has averaged 16.4 rebounds, 16.0 points, 4.4 assists, 2.6 blocks and 1.4 steals over the last five games for Detroit.
After splitting two games last season, these teams will battle for the first time this year. In the last contest, the Pistons won 103-90. The Pistons had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (38.5 vs. 16.2) and had a better free throw rate (0.134 vs. 0.120).
Memphis Grizzlies at Detroit Pistons Free Pick
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Pistons, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Memphis is 9-11-1 ATS with 10 overs, 10 unders and 1 push.
Detroit is 11-12-1 ATS at home with 12 overs and 12 unders.
Memphis is 11-9 when they allow below 100 points, while Detroit is 12-6.
The Grizzlies are 13-12 when they score more than 100 points, while the Pistons are 20-12.
Detroit ranks second in fast break points allowed per game (8.7) while Memphis ranks 28th (13.9).
The Grizzlies rank seventh in blocks per game (5.2) while the Pistons rank 28th (3.7).
Memphis ranks seventh in assists allowed per game (21.1) while Detroit ranks 27th (24.4).
The Pistons rank third in second chance points allowed per game (10.6) while the Grizzlies rank 11th (11.5).
Detroit ranks 20th in rebounds per game (42.4) while Memphis ranks 28th (40.3).
The Pistons rank fifth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.6) while the Grizzlies rank 12th (15.6).
Memphis ranks second in points allowed in the paint per game (40.8) while Detroit ranks seventh (42.2).
The Pistons rank fourth in steals allowed per game (7.0) while the Grizzlies rank eighth (7.3).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Memphis is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Detroit is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Grizzlies’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.2, up from 2.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 106.4 points per game (3.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 111.0 points per game (7.9 above their season average).
