The Golden State Warriors (9-1) will try to continue their seven-game winning streak against the Memphis Grizzlies (5-3) at ORACLE Arena. The game will air on NBATV at 10:30 p.m. ET on Monday, November 5, 2018.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 220 points with Golden State set as a 14-point favorite.
Memphis Grizzlies at Golden State Warriors Free Prediction
Although the Grizzlies were beaten by the Phoenix Suns in their last game, 102-100, they were able to cover as 8.5-point underdogs. The game’s total points (202) were just over the projected point total of 201.5. Phoenix made good use of their 26 trips to the charity stripe, making 22 of them (84.6 percent). Memphis, meanwhile, was 21-29 (72.4 percent). Shelvin Mack led Memphis in scoring with 21 points on 7-for-10 shooting.
The last time the Warriors took the court, they defeated the Minnesota Timberwolves, 116-99, covering as 10.5-point favorites. The total points for the game (215) came in well under the O/U total of 243.5. The Warriors held the Timberwolves to an offensive rebounding percentage of 14.0 (below their season average of 26.4). The Timberwolves had a free throw rate of 0.099 (below their season average of 0.241). Kevin Durant was the top scorer from either team with 33 points on 11-for-19 shooting from the field.
The Warriors won two of the three matchups against the Grizzlies last season. In the most recent matchup, Golden State won 141-128. Golden State was successful at getting and making free throws. The Warriors made 23 of their 25 free throws (92.0 percent), while the Grizzlies were just 15-22 (68.2 percent).
Memphis comes into the contest with records of 5-3 straight up (SU) and 5-2 against the spread (ATS). Oddsmakers have a tendency to set the total high when the Grizzlies are involved, as four of their seven games have ended under the total.
Meanwhile, Golden State is 9-1 SU and 6-4 ATS. Contrary to Memphis, Warriors games have a tendency to go over the O/U total (60.0 percent).
Klay Thompson and Draymond Green have played well over the last five games for Golden State. Thompson has averaged 23.8 points and 1.2 steals per game. Not to be outdone, Green has recorded 10.2 assists, 10.0 points, 6.8 rebounds and 2.0 steals a game during that span.
Golden State appears to have the advantage on the offensive side of the ball. The Warriors rank first in offensive efficiency, while the Grizzlies rank 19th in defensive efficiency dating back to last season.
Memphis Grizzlies at Golden State Warriors Free Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
In contests where they allow under 100 points, Golden State is 24-7 and Memphis is 16-13.
When scoring above 100 points, the Warriors are 79-17 and the Grizzlies are 21-24.
Golden State ranks sixth in rebounds per game (44.1) while Memphis ranks last (40.3).
The Grizzlies rank seventh in three pointers allowed per game (29.1) while the Warriors rank last (30.6).
Golden State ranks first in assists per game (28.8) while Memphis ranks 22nd (21.7).
The Warriors rank second in fast break points per game (19.1) while the Grizzlies rank 18th (13.1).
Golden State ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.6) while Memphis ranks 15th (5.1).
The Warriors rank 12th in points in the paint per game (43.8) while the Grizzlies rank 25th (42.3).
Golden State ranks 15th in second chance points per game (10.7) while Memphis ranks 26th (11.6).
The Warriors average 8.0 steals per game, which ranks ninth in the league. The Grizzlies rank 19th in steals allowed per game (7.9).
Golden State ranks 12th in points off turnovers per game (17.3) while Memphis ranks 17th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.1).
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