The Memphis Grizzlies (12-5) put their five-game winning streak on the line when they square off against the Los Angeles Clippers (11-6) at Staples Center. The game can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 3:30 p.m. ET on Friday, November 23, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 214.5 points with Los Angeles opening as a 3.5-point favorite.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Los Angeles Clippers ATS Prediction
The Grizzlies will be hoping for similar success after just getting past the San Antonio Spurs in their last contest, 104-103, as 2.5-point underdogs. The game’s total points (207) came in over the projected point total of 199.5. Memphis had a better effective field goal percentage (0.531 vs. 0.475). San Antonio, on the other hand, held the Grizzlies to an offensive rebounding percentage of 10.8 (below their season average of 18.0). With 30 points on 11-for-23 shooting, Mike Conley was the top scorer from either team.
In the Clippers’ last game, they lost to the Washington Wizards, 125-118. They failed to cover as 1-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (243) finished over the O/U total of 234.5. Washington’s 6.0 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over Los Angeles, who had a mark of 14.9. The Wizards’ mark was better than their season average of 12.5. With 29 points on 12-for-21 shooting, Tobias Harris led Los Angeles in scoring.
The physical Los Angeles offense looks poised to dominate from the foul line. The Clippers rank first in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.274, while Memphis ranks 23rd in FTA rate allowed (0.221). The Grizzlies should be expected to protect the ball well. They rank 5th at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.9 percent). Conversely, the Clippers force the fewest turnovers in the league (opponents’ turnover percentage of 10.9 percent).
Memphis comes into the game with records of 12-5 straight up (SU) and 12-5 against the spread (ATS). Grizzlies matchups have a tendency to finish under the total (58.8 percent).
Meanwhile, Los Angeles owns records of 11-6 SU and 10-7 ATS. Unlike Memphis, games featuring the Clippers tend to go over the projected point total (64.7 percent).
Both teams have had a player step their game up over their last five games. Marc Gasol (21 points,10.4 rebounds,2.0 blocks) has been great for the Grizzlies while Montrezl Harrell (21 points,8.8 rebounds,1.8 blocks,1.4 steals) has made great contributions to the Clippers.
After splitting four games last season, these teams will go head-to-head for the first time this year. In the most recent contest, the Clippers won 109-100. The Clippers had a much better turnover percentage (9.7 vs. 17.6) and had a better free throw rate (0.263 vs. 0.173).
Grizzlies at Clippers ATS Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Clippers, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Memphis is 5-4 ATS on the road with 6 unders and 3 overs.
At home, Los Angeles is 6-2 ATS with 5 overs and 3 unders.
In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Los Angeles is 2-0 and Memphis is 6-2.
In games where they reach 100 points, the Clippers are 11-5 and the Grizzlies are 9-2.
Memphis ranks second in steals per game (9.4) while Los Angeles ranks last (5.6).
The Grizzlies rank third in points off turnovers per game (20.4) while the Clippers rank 29th (14.3).
Memphis ranks fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.7) while Los Angeles ranks 25th (6.5).
The Grizzlies rank fifth in second chance points allowed per game (11.5) while the Clippers rank 25th (15.4).
Los Angeles ranks ninth in rebounds per game (46.6) while Memphis ranks 29th (38.9).
The Clippers rank 5 in points in the paint per game (53.05882352941177) while the Grizzlies rank 22 (45.05882352941177).
Los Angeles ranks 17 in fast break points per game (12.176470588235293) while Memphis ranks 24 in fast break points allowed per game (16).
Neither of these teams shoot many long balls. The Grizzlies are 26 in the league with 27.58823529411765 three pointers per game while the Clippers are 27 with 25.529411764705884 threes per game.
Bettings Trends:
In its last five outings, Memphis is 5-0 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Los Angeles is 3-2 ATS with 5 overs over its last five games.
The Grizzlies’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.0, up from 2.9 for the season.
During their last five games, the Clippers have scored an average of 121.8 points per game (3.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 118.0 points per game (4.5 above their season average).
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