The San Antonio Spurs (8-8) will have their hands full against the NBA’s top scoring defense when they challenge the Memphis Grizzlies (11-5) at AT&T Center. The game starts at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 21, 2018, and will air on Fox Sports – Southeast.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 200.5 points with San Antonio opening as a 2.5-point favorite.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. San Antonio Spurs Free Prediction
The Grizzlies will be looking for similar success after covering the 3-point spread against the Dallas Mavericks in their last contest, 98-88. The combined points for the game (186) came in under the O/U total of 199. Memphis was lights out from beyond the arc (12-30; 40.0 percent). Dallas, meanwhile, had a turnover percentage of 8.5 (better than their season average of 14.8). Marc Gasol was a key piece for Memphis with 17 points and 15 rebounds.
The last time the Spurs played, they were beaten by the New Orleans Pelicans, 140-126. They failed to cover as 7.5-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (266) finished well over the O/U total of 222. New Orleans’ 8.5 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over San Antonio, who had a mark of 12.3. The Pelicans’ mark was better than their season average of 12.5. With 21 points on 7-for-19 shooting, DeMar DeRozan was San Antonio’s leading scorer.
After the Spurs won all four contests against the Grizzlies last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent matchup, San Antonio won 100-98. Getting to the free throw line was one of San Antonio’s largest advantages. They had 31 free throw attempts, while Memphis had just nine.
Memphis comes into the game with records of 11-5 straight up (SU) and 11-5 against the spread (ATS). Of the Grizzlies’ 16 games, 10 have finished under the projected point total.
Meanwhile, San Antonio is 8-8 SU and 8-8 ATS. Vegas is exceedingly precise when setting the total of Spurs games, with an even split between overs and unders.
Gasol and Jaren Jackson Jr. have been playing well over the last five games for Memphis. Gasol has averaged 22 points,9.8 rebounds,3.2 assists,1.2 steals,1.2 blocks per game. Not to be outdone, Jackson Jr. has put up 14 points,2.2 blocks,1.4 steals a game during that span.
Half-court execution will be at a premium when two of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams square off. San Antonio ranks 23rd in possessions per game (101.3) and Memphis is 30th (97.9). Additionally, the Grizzlies rank fifth in turnover percentage (13.1 percent), while the Spurs rank 24th in opponents’ turnover percentage (12.8 percent).
Memphis Grizzlies vs. San Antonio Spurs Odds Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Grizzlies, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Memphis is 4-4 ATS on the road with 6 unders and 2 overs.
At home, San Antonio is 5-3 ATS with 4 overs and 4 unders.
San Antonio is 4-1 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Memphis is 6-2.
The Spurs are 7-4 when they score above 100 points, while the Grizzlies are 8-2.
Memphis ranks second in steals per game (9.8) while San Antonio ranks 26th (6.4).
The Grizzlies rank third in points off turnovers per game (21.3) while the Spurs rank 26th (15.3).
Memphis ranks third in points allowed in the paint per game (42.6) while San Antonio ranks 21st (49.5).
The Spurs rank 14th in second chance points per game (14.0) while the Grizzlies rank last (9.1).
San Antonio ranks 13th in rebounds per game (45.4) while Memphis ranks 28th (38.9).
The Grizzlies rank 19 in fast break points per game (11.6875) while the Spurs rank 29 (8.75).
Memphis ranks 18 in blocks per game (5.0625) while San Antonio ranks 26 (4.0625).
The Grizzlies rank 24 in three pointers attempted per game (27.75) while the Spurs rank 28 (24.8125).
Bettings Trends:
In its last five outings, Memphis is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
San Antonio is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Grizzlies’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.2, up from 3.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 107.2 points per game (1.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 113.6 points per game (3.9 above their season average).
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