The Utah Jazz (1-1) square off with the Memphis Grizzlies (1-1) at Vivint Smart Home Arena. The game is scheduled to begin at 9 p.m. ET on Monday, October 22, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 219 points with Utah opening as a 10-point favorite.
Memphis Grizzlies at Utah Jazz Betting Prediction
The Grizzlies will be hoping for a similar result after covering the 7-point spread against the Atlanta Hawks in their last matchup, 131-117. The total points for the game (248) came in well over the projected point total of 216.5. The Grizzlies had a much better free throw rate (0.370 vs. 0.253) and had a better turnover percentage (13.8 vs. 16.1). With 30 points on 10-for-11 shooting, Garrett Temple was the top scorer from either team.
The last time the Jazz played, they lost a close one to the Golden State Warriors, 124-123, but were able to cover as 2.5-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (247) were well over the O/U total of 218.5. Golden State’s 0.621 effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over Utah, who had a rate of 0.556. With 27 points on 10-for-15 shooting, Joe Ingles led Utah in scoring.
Half-court execution will be of utmost importance when two of the league’s slowest-paced teams clash. Utah ranks 25th in possessions per game (97.8) and Memphis is 29th (97.1) since last season. Also, the Grizzlies’ 27th-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 102.5) will face a difficult challenge against the Jazz’s second-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 102.7).
The Grizzlies are 23-61 straight up (SU) and 44-46 against the spread (ATS) since last season. Vegas has been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Memphis games since last season with 46 overs compared to 44 unders.
The Jazz, meanwhile, have records of 49-35 SU and 43-47-5 ATS since last season. Just over half of Utah’s games have finished over the O/U total over that same stretch.
The Jazz won all three games against the Grizzlies last season. In the last game, Utah won 107-97. The Jazz had a better free throw rate (0.203 vs. 0.123) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.622 vs. 0.537).
Memphis Grizzlies at Utah Jazz ATS Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Jazz, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
In games where they allow less than 100 points, Memphis is 13-12 and Utah is 37-7.
When reaching 100 points, the Jazz are 44-15 and the Grizzlies are 18-23.
Utah ranks third in fast break points allowed per game (10.2) while Memphis ranks 27th (14.5).
The Jazz rank fourth in steals per game (8.5) while the Grizzlies rank 20th (7.5).
Utah ranks eighth in blocks per game (5.1) while Memphis ranks 22nd in blocks allowed per game (5.2).
The Jazz rank 13th in points in the paint per game (44.7) while the Grizzlies rank 25th (42.1).
Memphis averages 17.1 points off turnovers per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. Utah ranks 17th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.9).
The Jazz rank 19th in rebounds per game (43.4) while the Grizzlies rank 29th (40.4).
Utah ranks second in second chance points allowed per game (10.9) while Memphis ranks 11th (11.9).
The Jazz rank fourth in three pointers allowed per game (26.6) while the Grizzlies rank 12th (29.0).
Utah ranks first in assists allowed per game (19.8) while Memphis ranks ninth (22.3).
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