The Memphis Grizzlies (4-2) visit Utah to play the Jazz (4-3) in a game that will likely be low scoring. The game starts at 9 p.m. ET on Friday, November 2, 2018.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Utah Jazz ATS Prediction
The Grizzlies will be looking for a similar outcome after easily covering the 1-point spread against the Washington Wizards in their last game, 107-95. The game’s combined points (202) were well under the O/U total of 220.5. The Grizzlies forced 20 turnovers and had a free throw rate of 0.297 (above their season average of 0.246). Marc Gasol led the way for Memphis, putting up 19 points, six assists and five rebounds.
The last time the Jazz played, they let one slip away to the Minnesota Timberwolves, 128-125, despite being 7-point favorites. The total points for the game (253) came in well over the projected point total of 222. Minnesota’s 0.651 effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Utah, who had a mark of 0.557. The Timberwolves’ mark was above their season average of 0.489. With 22 points and 13 rebounds, Utah’s Rudy Gobert had a good performance.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, Gasol had 18 points and 13 rebounds and the Grizzlies, who were 11-point underdogs, defeated the Jazz 92-84. The game finished with a total of 176 points, which was 37.5 points below the projected point total of 213.5 points. The Grizzlies had a better turnover percentage (9.5 vs. 14.0) and had a better free throw rate (0.250 vs. 0.220).
Memphis comes into the game with records of 4-2 straight up (SU) and 4-2 against the spread (ATS). Games featuring the Grizzlies have a tendency to go under the projected point total (66.7 percent).
Meanwhile, Utah owns records of 4-3 SU and 4-3 ATS. Contrary to Memphis, games featuring the Jazz tend to finish over the O/U total (71.4 percent).
Half-court execution will be at a premium when two of the league’s slowest-paced teams go head-to-head. Utah ranks 26th in possessions per game (98.1) and Memphis is 30th (97.2) since last season. Furthermore, the 28th-ranked offense of the Grizzlies (offensive efficiency of 102.5) will face off against the second-ranked defense of the Jazz (defensive efficiency of 102.6).
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Utah Jazz Betting Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Grizzlies, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
In contests where they allow below 100 points, Utah is 38-8 and Memphis is 16-13.
The Grizzlies are 20-23 when they score above 100 points, while the Jazz are 47-16.
Utah ranks third in fast break points allowed per game (10.2) while Memphis ranks 26th (14.5).
The Jazz average 8.5 steals per game, which ranks third in the league. The Grizzlies rank 21st in steals allowed per game (8.0).
Utah ranks eighth in blocks per game (5.1) while Memphis ranks 21st in blocks allowed per game (5.1).
The Jazz rank 13th in points in the paint per game (45.1) while the Grizzlies rank 25th (42.2).
Utah ranks 19th in rebounds per game (43.5) while Memphis ranks last (40.5).
The Grizzlies rank seventh in points off turnovers per game (17.3) while the Jazz rank 17th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.9).
Utah ranks fourth in three pointers allowed per game (26.8) while Memphis ranks 12th (29.0).
The Jazz rank first in assists allowed per game (19.8) while the Grizzlies rank ninth (22.3).
Utah ranks third in second chance points allowed per game (11.1) while Memphis ranks ninth (11.8).
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