The Miami Dolphins (+7) are heading west to take on the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium. The Thursday tilt will be televised across the nation on FOX and the opening kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET.
Miami Dolphins at Houston Texans Betting Preview
Miami is playing the role of underdog and is currently getting 7 points in this AFC game. The Dolphins are also receiving +230 moneyline odds while the Texans are -280. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 45.5 points. There should be some solid live betting possibilities while the game’s taking place.
The Dolphins have gained 2.6 units so far and are 4-3 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 4-3. The Texans have lost 0.7 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-4-1 ATS and own an O/U record of 2-5.
The Dolphins have gone 4-3 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Texans are also 4-3 SU.
The Dolphins fell to Detroit 32-21 in a Week 7 matchup where their defense allowed the Lions to eat up the clock by rushing for 248 yards on 35 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Kerryon Johnson had a productive day for the opposition in that one with 158 rushing yards on 19 attempts. On the offensive side, Brock Osweiler completed 22-of-31 passes for 239 yards and two touchdowns. Frank Gore (only 29 yards on 10 rush attempts) and Kenyan Drake (72 yards on six carries, one TD) led the running attack in the loss while Danny Amendola (six receptions, 84 yards, one TD) and Drake (four catches, 15 yards) manned the receiving duties.
The Houston Texans just picked up a 20-7 win over Jacksonville a week ago. The team’s defense did its job in the victory, keeping the Jaguars to just 217 passing yards and 70 rushing yards. Donte Moncrief had a good showing in the loss for Jacksonville, recording 76 yards on seven catches. For Houston, Deshaun Watson completed 12-of-24 passes for 139 yards and one touchdown. Lamar Miller (100 rushing yards on 22 attempts, one TD) mounted the ground game in the win while Will Fuller V (six receptions, 68 yards) and DeAndre Hopkins (three catches, 50 yards, one TD) led the receiving attack.
Miami’s run the ball on 43.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Houston has an overall rush percentage of 46.0 percent. The Dolphins have rushed for 107 yards/game and have two scores via handoffs this year. The Texans are logging 114 rush yards per game and have three total rushing TDs.
The Dolphins offensive scheme has tallied 240 yards per contest through the air overall and has 15 passing scores so far. The Texans have recorded 277 pass yards per contest and have 10 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Miami has allowed opponents to run for an average of 137 yards and pass for 279 yards per game. The Houston defense has allowed 257.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 92.1 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Dolphins have given up an ANY/A of 6.50 to opposing QBs, while the Texans are allowing an ANY/A of 6.18.
Offensively, Osweiler has put up 274 passing yards on the year, and has connected on 72 percent of his 36 attempts with three passing scores and has yet to throw an interception. He has a 7.75 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.66 over the last two outings.
Deshaun Watson has completed 137-of-216 passes for 1,760 yards, nine TDs and five INTs for Houston. His ANY/A stands at 6.90 for the year and 3.91 over his past two outings.
RELATED: Week 8 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions
NFL Prediction: Miami Dolphins vs. Houston Texans
SU Winner – Texans, ATS Winner – Texans, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes
The Houston D has created 19 sacks on the year while Miami has just 11.
Houston has lost four fumbles in 2018 while the Miami offense has lost five.
The Dolphins offense has produced five pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Texans have accounted for one such play.
The Miami defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Houston has given up five such plays.
The Miami offense has created six rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Houston has created one such run.
The Dolphins defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Texans have given up one such run.
As a team, Miami has averaged 5.5 yards per rush attempt over its past three contests and 5.4 over its last two.
Houston has averaged 3.3 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.5 over its past two.
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