The Miami Dolphins (4-6) head to square off with the New York Jets (5-5) at MetLife Stadium this week. The game will air Sunday, Nov 29 at 1:00 p.m. ET on CBS.
The last time the Jets and Dolphins met was in Week 4, when New York defeated Miami 27-14. Chris Ivory had a good outing in that game, rushing 29 times for 166 yards and one TD. Brandon Marshall had a great game as well, adding 128 yards on seven catches. Reshad Jones led the defensive effort for Miami, recording 10 tackles. Kenny Stills had a great game as well, adding 81 yards and a TD on five catches.
The Dolphins are a three-point underdog against the Jets and the Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at 43 points.
Sitting at 5-5 Straight Up (SU) and 4-5-1 Against The Spread (ATS), the Jets will look to improve heading into Week 12. In their five most recent matchups, the Jets went 1-4 SU and 0-4-1 ATS. New York faces a Miami run defense that ranks 31st in the league with 138.6 yards allowed per game. As for the New York defense, a few key matchups could decide this game. Miami’s offense will face a tough challenge against the third-ranked Jets run defense, which gives up 91.6 rushing yards per game. The Jets hope to continue the trend of knocking down Miami’s defense during the first quarter, when it allows a league-worst 7.2 points per game. On average, the Dolphins are given 8.3 flags each game, one of the worst rates in the league. Similar errors could benefit the Jets in this week’s game.
Across the field, the Dolphins head into Week 12 with records of 4-6 for both ATS and SU. Over their last five games, the Dolphins have a SU and ATS record of 2-3. The Dolphins’ defensive backs could be in for a good game when it faces off against the Jets, who rank 26th in terms of completion percentage with an average of 59.1%. The Dolphins defense should be able to pick off a few throws as the Jets rank 26th in interceptions with 1.2 thrown per game. The Dolphins will look to benefit from a New York defense that allows an average of 9.7 points in the second quarter, one of the worst marks in the league. Miami has put in some strong special teams performances this season. The team has averaged 99.8 return yards per game, ranking fourth in the NFL.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYJ, ATS Winner – NYJ, O/U – Under
Notes
NY Jets are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Jets last 6 games.
NY Jets are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.
NY Jets are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Jets last 6 games when playing Miami.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Jets last 5 games when playing at home against Miami.
NY Jets are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Miami.
Miami is 2-0 SU this season, when leading at the half. New York is 4-0 SU when taking a lead into halftime.
Remarkably, Miami is winless (0-4) SU in games where it wins the turnover battle, yet 3-1 SU when losing the turnover battle.
New York is an even 3-3 SU this season when allowing at least 3.0 sacks in a game. The Miami defense is averaging 3.0 sacks over its last five games.
Since the start of last season, New York is only 2-7 SU against AFC East opponents, while Miami is just 3-7 SU against divisional foes.
New York is rated higher in the ground game on both sides of the ball. Its 14th-ranked rushing attack will face the 31st-ranked run defense of Miami, while its third-ranked rush defense will look to contain the 19th-ranked run game of the Dolphins.
