The Miami (FL) Hurricanes (-3.5) are making a trip north to take on their ACC nemesis No. 24 Virginia Tech Hokies at Lane Stadium/Worsham Field. Kickoff for this showdown is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET and ESPN will showcase the action.
Miami (FL) Hurricanes at Virginia Tech Hokies Betting Preview
Virginia Tech enters this ACC game as the underdog and is currently getting 3.5 points. The Hurricanes are also receiving -175 moneyline odds while the Hokies are +155. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 51 points, and if one squad can get out in front early on, it would likely generate a nice in-game betting opportunity.
This game’s opening line was 3, while the O/U has yet to change after it was set initially at 51.
The disappointing Hurricanes have lost 8.1 units so far and are 3-7 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 5-5. The Hokies are up 1.1 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 3-6 ATS and own an O/U record of 5-4.
The Hurricanes are 5-5 straight up (SU), including 2-4 SU against ACC opponents. The Hokies are 4-5 SU overall and 3-3 SU in conference play.
The Hurricanes dropped one to Georgia Tech 27-21 in a game where N’Kosi Perry completed 14 passes for only 165 yards. Travis Homer (just 30 rushing yards on 11 attempts, one TD) provided the ground attack in the loss while Jeff Thomas (six receptions, 84 yards) and Homer (three catches, 26 yards) shared the receiving duties.
One week ago, Pittsburgh got the win against this Virginia Tech crew by a score of 52-22. The Hokies defensive unit allowed the Panthers to rush for 492 yards on 36 attempts, including six rush TDs. Qadree Ollison was on a different level for Pittsburgh, recording 235 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 16 attempts. For Virginia Tech, Ryan Willis completed 22-of-34 passes for 231 yards and three touchdowns. Willis (65 yards on 16 rush attempts) and Steven Peoples (49 yards on 10 carries) spearheaded the ground game in the defeat as Eric Kumah (six receptions, 80 yards, two TDs) and Tre Turner (four catches, 38 yards) led the Virginia Tech pass-catchers.
Miami (FL)’s run the ball on 58.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Virginia Tech has a rush percentage of 54.3 percent. The Hurricanes have produced 191 rush yards per game (including 178 per game versus Atlantic Coast opponents) and have 21 scores via handoffs this year. The Hokies are putting up 170 rush yards per game (129 in conference) and have 13 total rushing TDs.
Judging by the numbers this season, it seems like the Hurricanes may hold an advantage in all aspects of the ground game. Their running backs has logged 4.9 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 3.4 to opponents. The Hokies have recorded 4.3 yards per carry and given up 5.3 yards per rush attempt to opponents.
The Hurricanes offensive scheme has tallied 190 yards/game in the air overall (158 per game versus conference opposition) and has 17 passing scores so far. The Hokies have produced 262 pass yards per contest (247.0 against ACC competition) and have 21 total pass TDs.
Miami (FL) seems to have an edge in both areas of the defense. The team has let opponents run for an average of 134 yards and throw for 134 yards per game. The Virginia Tech defense has allowed 234.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 212.7 yards per game on the ground. The Hurricanes are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 2.86 to opponents, while the Hokies have given up a 7.03 ANY/A.
Offensively, Perry is up to 831 passing yards this season, and has completed 57 percent of his 112 attempts with 11 scores through the air and five interceptions. He has a 6.26 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 4.66 over the past two outings.
Ryan Willis has completed 118-of-196 passes for 1,489 yards, 13 TDs and three INTs for Virginia Tech. His ANY/A stands at 7.33 for the year and 7.11 over his past two outings.
When these two schools met a year ago, Miami (FL) got the victory over Virginia Tech, 28-10.
RELATED: Week 12 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
NCAA Pick: Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs. Virginia Tech Hokies
SU Winner – Virginia Tech, ATS Winner – Virginia Tech, O/U – Under
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
Virginia Tech has lost four fumbles this season while Miami (FL) has lost nine.
The Miami (FL) defense has 27 sacks on the year while Virginia Tech has just 20.
Miami (FL) has averaged 5.4 yards per rush attempt over its past three games and 5.9 over its last two.
Virginia Tech has averaged 3.9 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.6 over its last two.
Over its last three matches, Virginia Tech is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
The O/U for Miami (FL)’s previous game was 51. The under cashed in the team’s 27-21 loss to Georgia Tech.
In its last three games, Miami (FL) is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
The O/U for Virginia Tech’s last game going into it was 53. The over cashed in that 52-22 loss to Pittsburgh.
Virginia Tech has lost five of its last six games SU, with a three-point win over North Carolina on October 13th accounting for the only victory over that span.
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