The Brooklyn Nets (16-29) will attempt to end their five-game home losing streak in a matchup against the Miami Heat (26-18) at Barclays Center. The game will air on YES Network at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, January 19, 2018.
Miami is a 3-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 206.5 points.
Miami Heat vs. Brooklyn Nets Betting Prediction
The Heat will be looking for similar success after topping the Milwaukee Bucks in their last outing, 106-101. Miami’s 23.3 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over Milwaukee, who had a rate of 14.6. The Heat’s mark was above their season average of 19.9, while the Bucks’ was below the 20.6 mark opponents have averaged against Miami this season. Miami was lifted by Hassan Whiteside, who was the game’s leading scorer with 27 points on 10-for-12 shooting.
In the Nets’ last game, they were beaten by the San Antonio Spurs, 100-95. One of San Antonio’s largest advantages was getting to the charity stripe. They made 31 trips to the line, while Brooklyn went 18 times. With 20 points on 7-for-12 shooting, Allen Crabbe was Brooklyn’s high scorer.
This game should be a showdown of conflicting paces. Brooklyn prefers an up-tempo style of play (third in possessions per game), while Miami likes to grind-it-out (27th in possessions per game).
Miami comes into the contest with records of 26-18 straight up (SU) and 20-22-2 against the spread (ATS). Just over half of the Heat’s games have finished under the O/U total.
Although Brooklyn has a difficult time winning games outright (16-29 SU), they have an outstanding record ATS (27-17-1). Nets games also have finished under the projected point total 53.3 percent of the time.
Goran Dragic has averaged 21.4 points, 6.0 assists and 5.2 rebounds over the last five games for Miami.
The two teams have split their two matchups this season. The Nets won the most recent matchup 111-87, covering as 6-point underdogs. The game finished with a total of 198 points, which was 6 points below the projected point total of 204 points. Brooklyn launched 26 three pointers, making 11 of them (42.3 percent). Miami was, meanwhile, just 3-26 (11.5 percent). Caris LeVert recorded a double-double with 12 points and 11 assists.
Miami Heat at Brooklyn Nets Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nets, ATS Winner – Nets, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Miami is 14-9 ATS on the road with 13 unders, 9 overs and 1 push.
Brooklyn is 12-9-1 ATS at home with 12 unders and 10 overs.
In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Miami is 15-3 and Brooklyn is 10-1.
The Heat are 19-7 when they reach the century mark, while the Nets are 12-20.
Miami ranks seventh in rebounds allowed per game (42.0) while Brooklyn ranks 28th (46.0).
The Heat rank seventh in blocks per game (5.2) while the Nets rank 27th in blocks allowed per game (5.7).
Brooklyn ranks 15th in second chance points per game (12.3) while Miami ranks 28th (9.9).
The Nets rank 14th in points in the paint per game (43.7) while the Heat rank 26th (41.2).
Brooklyn ranks 17th in fast break points per game (10.5) while Miami ranks 28th (7.5).
The Heat rank 22nd in steals per game (7.1) while the Nets rank last (6.4).
Brooklyn ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (34.2) while Miami ranks seventh (31.2).
The Heat rank third in assists allowed per game (20.0) while the Nets rank eighth (21.4).
Miami ranks 24th in points off turnovers per game (15.1) while Brooklyn ranks 25th (15.0).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Miami is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Brooklyn is 2-2-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Heat have outscored opponents by an average of 4.8 points in their last five games. On the season, Miami has lost by an average of 0.6 points.
During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 100.4 points per game (5.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 111.4 points per game (2.3 above their season average).
