The Charlotte Hornets (48-36) will be at home when they play the Miami Heat (50-34) in Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals. Action starts at 5:30 pm ET on Saturday, Apr. 23 and can be seen on TNT, SUN and C+D.
The Hornets are hoping for a better outcome after their 115-103 loss to the Heat on Wednesday. Al Jefferson was the top performer for the Hornets, putting up 25 points, seven rebounds, and one steal.
The Hornets are hoping to build on their records of 48-36 Straight Up (SU) and 42-41-1 Against The Spread (ATS). They have a record of 12-6 both SU and ATS against their division at home. The Hornets are an impressive shooting team from the line with a .790 free throw percentage, one of the highest marks in the NBA. Charlotte is one of the most disciplined teams in the league with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.81.
On the other side, the Heat have 50-34 SU and 45-38-1 ATS records. Miami has not performed well ATS during its last 10 games, earning a 3-7 record. Blocking shots is an area where Miami has excelled. The Heat average 6.4 blocks per game, best in the league.
Miami beat Charlotte in their most recent meeting this season, bumping its SU record over the last 10 meetings to 6-4. With a 5-4-1 record, the Heat also have the advantage ATS.
Predictions: SU Winner – Mia
Notes
“Charlotte is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games “.
“Charlotte is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games “.
“The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte’s last 5 games “.
“Charlotte is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home”.
“Charlotte is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home”.
“The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte’s last 7 games at home”.
“Charlotte is 7-16-1 ATS in its last 24 games when playing Miami”.
“Charlotte is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games when playing Miami”.
“The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte’s last 7 games when playing Miami”.
“Charlotte is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Miami”.
“Charlotte is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Miami”.
“The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte’s last 6 games when playing at home against Miami”.
The Miami Heat hold a solid 12-6 SU record in matchups against Southeast Division rivals, while the Charlotte Hornets currently sit at 8-10 in these games.
Miami ranks 23rd in points per game with 100.5, while Charlotte ranks 10th in points allowed with an average of 101.1 given up.
Miami ranks 27th in points per away game with 96.9 points, while Charlotte ranks 10th in points allowed at home with 99.1.
In games where they allow fewer than 100 points, the Miami Heat are a dazzling 38-11. In games where they score fewer than 100 points, the Charlotte Hornets have an abysmal record of 8-27.
When allowing 100 or more points in a game, the Heat are just 12-23 this season. Charlotte is an outstanding 40-9 when registering triple digits.
Miami’s offense and Charlotte’s defense both rank ninth this season. Miami has an offensive rating of 105.7 and Charlotte has a defensive rating of 102.9.
Miami has an average field goal percentage of 47.3% (ranked fourth). Charlotte is a poor 10-19 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.
The Charlotte Hornets rank lower for their field goal percentage (25th) than they do for their effective field goal percentage (14th), but the Miami Heat have a better FG% ranking (fourth) than their EFF% ranking (ninth).
On average, the Charlotte Hornets make 21.4 assists per game and the Miami Heat make 20.9. Charlotte is ranked 20th, while Miami is ranked 23rd.
The Miami Heat top the league in blocking, with 6.4 made per game. The Charlotte Hornets average 5.2 blocks per game (ranked 12th).
The Charlotte Hornets rank 28th in offensive rebounding, while the Miami Heat rank sixth in defensive rebounding.
The Charlotte Hornets make an average of 7.2 steals per game. The Miami Heat are 30-23 when they allow 7 or more steals.