The Charlotte Hornets welcome the Miami Heat to the Time Warner Cable Arena for Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals. Action starts at 7:00 pm ET on Monday, Apr. 25 and can be seen on NBA, SUN and C+D.
The Hornets enter this game hoping for similar success after topping the Heat 96-80 on Saturday. Jeremy Lin led all scorers on the team with 18 points on 7-for-16 shooting.
The Hornets are attempting to build on their records of 49-36 Straight Up (SU) and 43-41-1 Against The Spread (ATS). They have a record of 12-7 both SU and ATS against their division at home. The Hornets are an exceptional shooting team from the line with a .792 free throw percentage, one of the highest marks in the NBA. The Hornets, sporting the fourth-best assist-to-turnover ratio in the NBA (1.83), have proven themselves to be an extremely efficient offensive team.
On the other side, the Heat head into the game with records of 45-39-1 ATS and 50-35 SU. In divisional games, Miami has gone 9-10 SU and 8-10-1 ATS. When it comes to defending the rim, the Heat are the best in the league with an average of 6.5 blocks per game.
With the Hornets’ last win against Miami, Charlotte moved closer to evening up its record against Miami. It now stands at 4-6 SU over the last 10 meetings. Additionally, the Heat hold the advantage ATS with a record of 5-4-1.
Predictions: SU Winner – Mia
Notes
Charlotte averages 103.2 points per game (ranked 11th). However, Miami has allowed an average of just 98.3 points per game (ranked fifth).
Charlotte ranks 10th in the league with 105.2 points per home game. Miami gives up just 98.9 points per away game (ranked fifth).
The Charlotte Hornets have a winning record (33-9) when their opponents score fewer than 100 points this season. The Miami Heat are 16-24 when they don’t hit triple digits.
When allowing 100 or more points in a game, the Hornets are just 16-27 this season. Miami is an outstanding 34-11 when it hits the century mark.
The Hornets have an offensive rating of 105.8 (ranked eighth). The Heat rank seventh for their defensive rating of 102.4.
The Charlotte Hornets average 97.5 possessions and 1.058 points per possession in games this season. The Miami Heat average fewer possessions with 95.0, as well as fewer points per possession with 1.055.
Miami has an average effective field goal percentage of 50.9% (ranked 10th in the league}. Charlotte is a losing 13-21 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.
On average, Charlotte attempts 28.0 three pointers and Miami attempts 18.0 per game. In games where the teams have 25 or more three point attempts, the Hornets have a winning 45-28 record while the Heat have a losing 1-4 record.
Charlotte has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.83 this season (ranked fourth), while Miami ranks lower at 17th with an A/TO of 1.59.
The Hornets rank 15th in rebounds per game with 43.7, while the Heat rank 12th with 44.1 per game.
Charlotte is ranked fourth in defensive rebounds, while Miami ranks 22nd in offensive rebounds.
Charlotte averages a forced turnover rate of 13.2% this season. Miami has a 19-27 record when they suffer a turnover rate equal to or exceeding this.
