The Detroit Pistons welcome the Miami Heat to The Palace of Auburn Hills. Action begins at 7:30 pm ET on Tuesday, Apr. 12 and can be seen on FxD and SUN.
The Pistons enter this game hoping for similar success after beating the Wizards 112-99 on Friday. Reggie Jackson led all scorers on the team with 39 points on 14-for-20 shooting. The Heat, meanwhile, are coming off a 118-96 win over the Magic on Sunday. Hassan Whiteside had a big game, accounting for 18 points and 15 rebounds to claim his 41st double-double of the season.
Over the last five games, Jackson has taken his game to another level for the Pistons. During that stretch, he has averaged 23.4 points, 3.8 rebounds, 6.0 assists, 0.6 steals, and 1.8 three-pointers.
The Pistons lead the season series against the Heat two games to one, but dropped their most recent game, a 107-89 blowout. Tobias Harris had a standout performance with 21 points, seven rebounds, two assists, and one steal in the loss.
The Pistons have gone 43-37 Straight Up (SU) and 41-36-3 Against The Spread (ATS). They are 43-37 SU and 41-36-3 ATS against the Eastern Conference. The Pistons have limited opponents’ efforts from beyond the arc, allowing 7.0 three-pointers made per game.
As for their opponent, the Heat head into the game with records of 42-37-1 ATS and 47-33 SU. Miami has records of 47-33 SU and 42-37-1 ATS against the East. The Heat are shooting lights out so far, with a .471 field-goal percentage that ranks fourth in the NBA. The Heat are one of the top defensive teams in the league, essentially shutting down opponents to the tune of 98.5 points allowed per game.
Miami won the last meeting this season between these two teams, evening up the two teams’ head-to-head record over the last 10 games. With a 6-4 record, the Pistons have the advantage ATS.
Predictions: SU Winner – Mia
Notes
On average, Miami scores 100.2 points per game (ranked 23rd), while Detroit gives up 101.3 points per game (ranked 12th).
Miami puts up an average of 97.0 points per away game (ranked 27th), while Detroit gives up 100.1 points per home game (ranked 11th).
The Detroit Pistons have a winning record (27-10) when their opponents score fewer than 100 points this season. The Miami Heat are 15-22 when they don’t hit triple digits.
When allowing 100 or more points in a game, the Pistons are just 16-27 this season. Miami is a winning 32-11 when it reaches the century mark.
The Pistons have an offensive rating of 103.8 (ranked 16th). The Heat rank eighth for their defensive rating of 102.3.
The Detroit Pistons average 98.2 possessions per game and 1.038 points per possession, while the Miami Heat earn fewer possessions (95.3) but more points per possession (1.051).
The Detroit Pistons average an effective field goal percentage of 49.1% this season. The Miami Heat have a poor record of 15-23 when opponents have an EFF% of 49.1% or greater.
On average, Detroit attempts 26.0 three pointers and Miami attempts 18.0 per game. In games where the teams have 25 or more three point attempts, the Pistons are even at 25-25 while the Heat have a losing 1-4 record.
The Detroit Pistons rank 23rd with an assist to turnover ratio of 1.50. The Miami Heat have a higher A/TO (1.58), ranking 19th.
The Detroit Pistons are one of the best rebounding teams in the league, earning 46.3 rebounds per game (ranked third). The Miami Heat rank 13th, rebounding 44.2 times each game.
Detroit is ranked 11th in defensive rebounds, while Miami ranks 22nd in offensive rebounds.
Detroit averages a forced turnover rate of 13.2% this season. Miami has an 18-26 record when they suffer a turnover rate equal to or exceeding this.
