The Philadelphia 76ers (8-53) will try to put an end to their 10-game skid when they meet the Miami Heat (35-26) at the Wells Fargo Center. Action begins at 7:00 pm ET on Friday, Mar. 4 and can be seen on SUN and CSP.
The 76ers are hoping for a better outcome after their 119-99 loss to the Hornets on Wednesday. Nerlens Noel was the team’s leading scorer with 17 points. The Heat, meanwhile, are coming off a 108-92 win against the Suns on Thursday. Dwyane Wade led the team in scoring by accounting for 27 points on 9-for-17 shooting.
Hassan Whiteside and Wade have upped their production over the last five games for the Heat. Whiteside has averaged 17.0 points, 12.8 rebounds, 1.2 steals, and 4.2 blocks during that stretch, while Wade has put up 24.4 points, 4.2 rebounds, 6.0 assists, and 1.0 steal.
Second-chance opportunities could be few and far between for the 76ers in this one. They rank 26th in the league in offensive rebounding (offensive rebound percentage of just 20.9%), while Miami is third-best in the NBA on the defensive glass (defensive rebound percentage of 78.8%).
This is the second game of the season between these two teams, with the Heat winning the first matchup 96-91. Wade was the game’s top overall scorer with 27 points.
The 76ers come into this game 8-53 Straight Up (SU) and 27-33-1 Against The Spread (ATS). Over their last 10 games, they have had success covering the spread (7-3). The 76ers have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 106.0 points during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 96.4 points per game.
As for their opponent, the Heat have a record of 33-27-1 ATS and 35-26 SU. Against the Eastern Conference, Miami is 35-26 SU and 33-27-1 ATS. The Heat convert their shots at a high percentage, ranking fifth in the league at .463. Shifting to the other side of the court, the Heat allow just 96.8 points per game, ranking them second in the league. One advantage for the Heat could be Philadelphia’s high fouls per game average of 22.2.
Miami beat Philadelphia in their most recent meeting this season, bumping its SU record over the last 10 meetings to 7-3. The 76ers lead the matchup ATS with a record of 5-4-1.
Predictions: SU Winner – Mia
Notes
“Philadelphia is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games “.
“Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games “.
“The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia’s last 9 games “.
“Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home”.
“Philadelphia is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games when playing Miami”.
“Philadelphia is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Miami”.
“Philadelphia is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Miami”.
“The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games when playing at home against Miami”.
“The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Philadelphia’s last 18 games when playing at home against Miami”.
On average, Miami puts up 97.6 points per game (ranked 28th), while Philadelphia allows 107.2 points per game (ranked 27th).
Miami ranks 30th in points per away game with 94.1 points, while Philadelphia ranks 29th in points allowed at home with 107.5.
At 5-13, the Philadelphia 76ers have a poor record when their opponents score fewer than 100 points. The Miami Heat are 15-20 when they don’t hit the century mark.
The Philadelphia 76ers have an underachieving 3-40 record in games where they have allowed at least 100 points. The Miami Heat are 20-6 when they hit triple digits.
The 76ers have an offensive rating of 96.4 (ranked 30th). The Heat rank sixth for their defensive rating of 100.9.
The Philadelphia 76ers average 100.0 possessions per game and .964 points per possession, while the Miami Heat earn fewer possessions (94.8) but more points per possession (1.030).
Philadelphia has an average effective field goal percentage of 49.0%. Miami is a losing 10-18 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.
On average, the Philadelphia 76ers attempt 25.0 three point field goals per game and the Miami Heat attempt 18.0 per game. In games where they attempt at least 25 threes, both teams have losing records; Philadelphia is 5-30 and Miami is 1-3.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank 30th with an assist to turnover ratio of 1.24. The Miami Heat have a higher A/TO (1.53), ranking 19th.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank 25th in offensive rebounding, while the Miami Heat rank sixth in defensive rebounding.
Miami averages .0 steals per game, ranking first in the league. Philadelphia is an abysmal 8-53 when it gives up at least steals.
