The Detroit Pistons (7-7) square off against the visiting Miami Heat (9-4) at The Palace of Auburn Hills. The game gets underway at 7:30 pm ET on Wednesday, Nov. 25 and will air on FD+ and SUN.
The Pistons lost big to the Bucks 109-88 on Monday. Andre Drummond put in a solid effort despite the loss for Detroit, recording 15 points and 15 rebounds to earn his 13th double-double of the season. The Heat, meanwhile, are coming off a 95-78 win over the Knicks on Monday. Goran Dragic played well for Miami, accumulating 13 points, nine rebounds, and five assists.
The inefficient Pistons offense (28th in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 98.1) will square off against the top-notch Heat defense (second in the league with a defensive efficiency of 94.6). The Heat figure to have the advantage on that end of the court. Furthermore, the defense of the Heat should have an advantage in terms of effective field goal percentage. They’re first in the league in forcing misses (opponents’ effective field goal percentage of 44.4%), while the offense of the Pistons ranks 27th in effective field goal percentage (46.1%).
The odds are even for this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at 190 points. The Pistons look to improve upon their records of 7-7 Straight Up (SU) and Against The Spread (ATS). They have the same record SU and ATS against the Eastern Conference, going 3-3. Teams routinely struggle to score points against the Pistons, who allow only 94.2 points per home game.
Across the court, Miami has a SU record of 9-4 and an ATS record of 6-7. Miami has records of 4-3 SU and 3-4 ATS against the East. The Heat are one of the top defensive teams in the league, essentially shutting down opponents to the tune of 91.8 points allowed per game. Miami’s defense has set the standard for the league, with opponents shooting a league-low .404 from the field. The Heat are a terror on the defensive glass, averaging an impressive 35.7 defensive rebounds per game.
This game marks the first time these teams will play this season. The last time the Pistons and the Heat played, Detroit won, but the Heat still lead the head-to-head record over the last 10, 6-4 SU. The Pistons hold the advantage ATS with a record of 6-4.
Predictions: SU Winner – Mia, ATS Winner – Mia, O/U – Under
Notes
Detroit is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit’s last 13 games.
Detroit is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Detroit’s last 15 games at home.
Detroit is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit’s last 5 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit’s last 7 games when playing Miami.
Detroit is 5-18 SU in its last 23 games when playing Miami.
Detroit is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games when playing at home against Miami.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit’s last 5 games when playing at home against Miami.
Detroit averages 96.4 points per game, placing the team just 27th in the league. Miami ranks second in points allowed, giving up 91.8 points per game.
The Detroit Pistons score 94.2 points per home game this season. However, Miami is the top-ranked team in points allowed on the road, giving up just 92.0 per game.
In its last game, Detroit lost by a 21-point margin. Miami is 2-0 in games decided by a margin of 18 points or more. Detroit has a 0-1 record in blowouts.
In games where they allow fewer than 100 points, the Miami Heat are a superb 8-2. In games where they score fewer than 100 points, the Detroit Pistons have a losing record of 3-7.
When Miami allows at least 100 points, the team has a losing 1-2 record. In games where it reaches the century mark, Detroit has a perfect 4-0 record.
The Heat have an offensive rating of 102.7 (ranked 10th), while the Pistons rank ninth for their defensive rating of 100.2.
Detroit has an average field goal percentage of 41.8%. Miami is an even 2-2 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.
Detroit averages 25.0 three point attempts per game, and Miami attempts 20.0 per game. In games where the teams have 25 or more three point attempts, the Pistons have a 4-5 record while the Heat are winless at 0-1.
The Detroit Pistons rank 28th with an assist to turnover ratio of 1.16. The Miami Heat have a higher A/TO (1.45), ranking 19th.
Detroit ranks near the top of the NBA for rebounds at second (47.1 per game), while Miami ranks eighth with 45.6 per game.
Detroit is ranked 15th in defensive rebounds, while Miami ranks 19th in offensive rebounds.
Detroit ranks ninth in forced turnovers with an average rate of 15.7%. Miami has a 3-2 record when they suffer a turnover rate equal to or exceeding this.
