The Miami Heat (34-39) can extend a five-game home winning streak when they meet the San Antonio Spurs (47-26). Action begins at 8:00 pm ET on Tuesday, Mar. 31 and can be seen on TNT.
The Heat played well in their last game, topping the Pistons 109-102 on Sunday. Dwyane Wade was the game’s leading scorer with 40 points on 14-for-27 shooting. The Spurs, meanwhile, are coming off a 103-89 win against the Grizzlies on Sunday. Kawhi Leonard claimed his 13th double-double of the season with 25 points and 10 rebounds.
Second-chance opportunities could be few and far between for the Heat in this one. They rank 26th in the league in offensive rebounding (offensive rebound percentage of just 23.0%), while San Antonio is third-best in the NBA on the defensive glass (defensive rebound percentage of 77.4%).
This is the second game of the season between these two teams, with the Spurs winning the first matchup 98-85. In the victory, Leonard led all scorers with 24 points.
The odds for Miami and San Antonio are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is unavailable as of now. The Heat have gone 34-39 Straight Up (SU) and 34-36-3 Against The Spread (ATS). They are 12-17 SU and 12-16-1 ATS against the Western Conference.
Over on the other bench, the Spurs have a record of 35-36-2 ATS and 47-26 SU. San Antonio performed well ATS during its last 10 games, earning a 7-3 record. The Spurs convert their shots at a high percentage, ranking fourth in the league at .463. The Spurs are the better of the two teams when it comes to assist-to-turnover ratio, ranking fifth in the NBA at 1.82. Moving on to San Antonio’s defense, the Spurs allow just 96.4 points per road game, ranking them third in the league. The Spurs allow very few three-pointers on defense with 6.8 given up per game.
In their previous meeting this season, San Antonio beat Miami, bumping its SU record over the last 10 meetings to 6-4. Furthermore, the Spurs hold the advantage ATS with a record of 7-3. In these last 10 matchups, San Antonio held the edge in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers four times, with Miami controlling all three of these areas one time.
Predictions: SU Winner – SA, ATS Winner – SA
Notes
San Antonio averages 102.7 points per game (ranked ninth). However, Miami has allowed an average of just 96.8 points per game (ranked third).
San Antonio scores an average of 98.3 points per away game (ranked 15th), while Miami gives up 98.0 points per home game (ranked 14th).
In games where they allow fewer than 100 points, the San Antonio Spurs are a tremendous 33-9. In games where they score fewer than 100 points, the Miami Heat have a losing record of 13-32.
San Antonio is 14-17 when allowing 100 or more points this season. The Heat have an exceptional 21-7 record when hitting triple digits.
The Heat have a defensive rating of 103.7 (ranked 21st), while the Spurs rank seventh for their offensive rating of 105.3.
The San Antonio Spurs have one of the best field goal percentages this season, ranking fourth in the league with a FG% of 46.3%. When their opponents record a similar or higher FG%, the Miami Heat have a poor 9-24 record.
Miami averages 20.4 three point attempts per game, and San Antonio attempts 22.7 per game. In games where the teams have 25 or more three point attempts, the Heat have an underachieving 4-8 record while the Spurs have a 15-10 record.
The Miami Heat rank 24th with an assist to turnover ratio of 1.44. The San Antonio Spurs have a higher A/TO (1.82), ranking fifth.
Miami ranks 30th in rebounds per game with 38.9, while San Antonio ranks 14th with 43.7 per game.
Miami is ranked 28th in defensive rebounds, while San Antonio ranks 26th in offensive rebounds.
Miami ranks seventh in forced turnovers with an average rate of 15.3%. San Antonio has a 13-12 record when they suffer a turnover rate equal to or exceeding this.
