The Miami Marlins will head north to take on the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. This interleague matchup will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to New England Sports Network to catch the game.
Miami Marlins vs. Boston Red Sox Odds
Miami (+215) is entering this one as the underdog against Boston (-235) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 9.5 runs (-125 for the over and +105 for the under). The game’s current runline odds stand at -105 for picking the Marlins +1.5 runs and -115 for the Red Sox -1.5.
The Red Sox are 90-42 straight up (SU) and 79-53 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 29.6 units for moneyline bettors and 25.6 units (ATS). Boston has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Marlins are 53-79 SU and have gone 68-64 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 0.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 10.1 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
Red Sox games have a 61-65-6 over/under record in 2018. The Marlins have an over/under record of 65-63-4.
Jose Urena will get the start for the visiting Marlins. The right-handed Urena is 4-12 with a 4.50 ERA and 108 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA against Boston this year.
The Red Sox will put the ball in the left hand of Brian Johnson (4-3, 4.12 ERA), who’s got 75 strikeouts and 28 walks as well as a 1.37 WHIP. Johnson is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against Miami this year.
Boston’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starters have a 3.71 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.35 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.
Boston’s offense has put up 5.3 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .278/.337/.385 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Red Sox batters have been led by J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts. Martinez is slashing .337/.407/.657 with 38 home runs, 110 RBIs and 96 runs scored, and the line for Betts stands at .336/.422/.628 with 27 homers, 65 RBIs, 104 runs and 26 steals.
In the other dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.47 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 7.68 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.03, along with a WHIP of 1.32.
The Marlins offense has slashed .239/.307/.359 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including 3.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Miami’s hitters have been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is slashing .282/.334/.398 with 10 home runs, 46 RBIs and 70 runs scored. Anderson is hitting .276/.357/.402 with 10 homers, 56 RBIs and 70 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 1.2 units and are 19-13 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 17 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 31.5 units and are 64-37 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 46 of those games, as opposed to 50 which went under the total.
Miami Marlins at Boston Red Sox Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Miami has logged eight extra-base hits over its last five contests. Boston has 12 XBH over its last five.
Miami has recorded 19.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 14.6 over its last five.
The Marlins have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit four over their last 10.
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