The Miami Marlins are ready to play the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will televise this interleague showdown.
Miami Marlins at Boston Red Sox Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Miami (+245) as the underdog to Boston (-290). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -115 for over 9 runs and -105 for under 9. You can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at +120 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and -140 for the Red Sox -1.5 runs.
The Marlins are 53-80 SU and have gone 68-64 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 10.1 units ATS. Miami’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 91-42 SU and 79-53 ATS. They’ve gained 29.6 units for moneyline bettors and 25.6 units ATS. Boston has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Red Sox games have had an over/under record of 61-65-6 in 2018. The Marlins have an over/under record of 65-63-4.
Trevor Richards will get the start for the visiting Marlins. Richards (3-7, 4.23 ERA) has recorded 97 punchouts in 95.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 10.38 ERA against Boston this year.
The Red Sox are putting the ball in the left hand of David Price (14-6, 3.50 ERA), who’s got 149 strikeouts and 41 walks as well as a 1.15 WHIP. Price has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.
Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.48 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 7.64 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.06, along with a WHIP of 1.32.
Marlins hitters have slashed .240/.308/.361 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including 4.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson continue to lead Miami’s offense. Castro is slashing .284/.336/.408 with 11 home runs, 47 RBIs and 71 runs scored, while Anderson (.278/.360/.404) has produced 10 homers, 56 RBIs and 71 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 3.64 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.44 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.
Boston’s hitters have put up 5.4 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .271/.342/.343 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Red Sox hitters have been led by J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts. Martinez is slashing .338/.409/.656 with 38 home runs, 110 RBIs and 98 runs scored, while the line for Betts stands at .336/.425/.627 with 27 homers, 65 RBIs, 105 runs and 26 stolen bases.
The Marlins have lost 1.2 units and are 19-13 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over’s hit in 17 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under against -handed starting pitchers.
Miami Marlins vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has cashed in only two of Miami’s last seven games.
Miami has posted 21.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 13.8 over its last five.
The Marlins have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit five over their last 10.
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