The Miami Marlins will head north to Great American Ball Park to play the Cincinnati Reds. This NL matchup will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox SportsNet Florida will be showing the game.
Miami Marlins at Cincinnati Reds Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Miami (+115) as the underdog to Cincinnati (-125). The total stands at nine runs and bettors can take either the over or the under for -110. Gamblers can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at Marlins +1.5 runs (-180) and Reds +-1.5 runs (+160).
The Marlins have gone 11-19 SU this year and are 15-15 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.1 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 1.7 units ATS. The Reds, on the other hand, are 7-24 SU and 15-16 ATS. They’ve lost 15.6 units for moneyline bettors and 6.9 units ATS.
Reds games have had an over/under record of 15-16 so far in 2018. Miami has an over/under record of 14-16.
The southpaw Wei-Yin Chen will get the start for Miami. Chen is 1-0 with a 1.69 ERA and three strikeouts. He has yet to face the Reds this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Reds are going with righty Sal Romano (1-3, 4.65 ERA), who’s got 17 punchouts and 14 walks, as well as a 1.45 WHIP. Romano made two starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 1-0 record in 2017, posting a 1-0 record with a 0.93 ERA and 12 strikeouts.
Cincinnati’s pitching staff has given up 5.5 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.50, a WHIP of 1.49 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.0. The bullpen has a 5.01 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 8.5 K/9.
The Cincinnati offense has put up 4.0 runs per contest, including 6.3 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .249/.349/.379 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
First baseman Joey Votto and outfielder Jesse Winker have led the Reds’ hitters this year. Votto is hitting .259/.396/.389 with four home runs, 15 RBIs and 12 runs scored, while Winker’s line is .302/.413/.384 with 26 hits, nine RBIs and nine runs.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .298/.375/.529, Winker didn’t seem to enjoy hitting at home in 2017, producing .259/.358/.414 across 67 plate appearances.
In the visiting dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.26 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.05 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.10, along with a WHIP of 1.33.
The Marlins offense has slashed .225/.297/.327 on its way to 3.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
First baseman Justin Bour and third baseman Brian Anderson have led Miami’s offense. Bour is hitting .244/.346/.433 with five home runs, 14 RBIs and nine runs scored, while Anderson (.257/.362/.367) has produced two homers, 16 RBIs and 13 runs scored.
The Marlins have gained 0.1 units and are 11-12 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 10 of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 2.9 units and are 2-3 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in three of those games, compared to two that’ve gone under.
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Notes
The under has hit in five of Miami’s last seven games.
The Reds have lost four of their last five games SU.
The Miami defense has allowed two errors over the last 10 games, compared to nine errors for Cincinnati over its last 10.
The Marlins have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 13 over their last 10.
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