The Colorado Rockies are gunning for their fourth straight win as they play host to the Miami Marlins at Coors Field. The game gets going at 8:40 p.m. ET and this NL matchup will be televised on ATRM and FSFL.
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Miami (+182) as the underdog to Colorado (-195). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -120 for over 11 runs and +100 for under 11. Gamblers can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -120 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and +100 for the Rockies -1.5.
The Rockies are 37-38 straight up (SU) and 35-39 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.8 units for moneyline bettors and 4.1 units (ATS). Colorado has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the over has hit in six of those seven. The Marlins are 29-46 SU and have gone 39-36 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 1.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.5 units ATS. Miami’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.
Rockies games have an over/under record of 37-34-3 thus far in 2018. The Marlins have an over/under record of 39-36.
Wei-Yin Chen will get the start for Miami. The left-handed Chen is 2-3 with a 5.91 ERA and 33 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with three strikeouts and a 1.69 ERA against Colorado this year.
The Rockies are sending righty Jon Gray (6-7, 5.89 ERA) to the mound. Gray has 100 strikeouts and 27 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.48. Gray has yet to face the Marlins this year, but he made two starts against them in 2017, compiling a 1-0 record with a 4.63 ERA and nine strikeouts.
As a unit, Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.85, a WHIP of 1.38 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 5.65 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.
Colorado’s hitters are putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 6.5 per game over its last 10 games and 8.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .324/.393/.574 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Third baseman Nolan Arenado and right fielder Charlie Blackmon have led the Rockies’ batters this year. Arenado is hitting .317/.403/.584 with 16 home runs, 51 RBIs and 50 runs scored, and Blackmon is batting .281 with 14 homers, 34 RBIs and 58 runs scored.
For the visiting squad, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.73 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 7.55 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.91, along with a WHIP of 1.35 and a K-per-9 of 8.42.
The Marlins offense has slashed .237/.306/.358 on its way to 3.5 runs scored per game this season, including 4.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro have led Miami’s offense. Anderson is slashing .299/.377/.426 with four home runs, 36 RBIs and 41 runs scored, while Castro is slashing .272/.319/.376 with three homers, 27 RBIs and 41 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 3.4 units and are 25-29 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 27 of those games, as opposed to 27 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Rockies have lost 2.8 units and are 14-13 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 11 of those games, compared to 14 which went under the total.
Miami Marlins at Colorado Rockies Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has cashed in five of Miami’s last seven outings.
The Marlins have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.
Miami has recorded 22.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.8 over its last five.
The Marlins have lost three of their last four games SU.
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