The Miami Marlins are set to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium. This NL matchup will get underway at 10:10 p.m. ET and Fox SportsNet Florida will be televising the game.
Miami Marlins at Los Angeles Dodgers Odds
Los Angeles (-250) is the favorite over Miami (+225) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). The game’s current runline odds sit at +100 for taking the Marlins +1.5 runs and -120 for the Dodgers -1.5.
The Dodgers are 11-10 SU and 8-12 ATS. The team’s lost 6.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.2 units against the spread (ATS). Los Angeles has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total went over in five of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, have gone 5-17 SU this year and are 7-14 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 6.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season and 9.2 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven.
Dodgers games have an 11-9 over/under record thus far in 2018. The Marlins have an over/under record of 12-9.
Dillon Peters will get the start for Miami. The southpaw Peters is 2-2 with a 6.98 ERA and 12 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Dodgers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Dodgers are sending righty Kenta Maeda (2-1, 3.77 ERA) to the mound. Maeda has 24 strikeouts and five walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.74. Maeda did not record a start against the Marlins in 2017.
As a unit, Los Angeles’ pitching staff has yielded 3.9 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 3.20, a WHIP of 1.10 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.0. The bullpen has a 3.72 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.
Los Angeles’ hitters have produced 4.6 runs per outing, including 5.7 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .263/.344/.444 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Catcher Yasmani Grandal and outfielder Matt Kemp have led the Dodgers’ batters this year. Grandal is hitting .328/.423/.552 with three home runs, 16 RBIs and 11 runs scored, and Kemp’s line is .321/.361/.536 with three homers, 10 RBIs and seven runs scored.
Compared to his total season slash line of .276/.318/.463, Kemp appeared to take a step back when facing left-handed pitching at home last year, hitting .256/.347/.326 across 49 plate appearances.
For the visiting squad, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.33 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 8.08 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.59, along with a WHIP of 1.44.
Marlins hitters have slashed .223/.299/.305 on their way to 3.2 runs scored per game this season, including 3.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (0-5 SU).
Third baseman Brian Anderson and first baseman Justin Bour have led Miami’s offense. Anderson is slashing .256/.389/.359 with 20 hits, 12 RBIs and nine runs scored, while Bour (.237/.318/.421) is up to 18 hits, four homers, 13 RBIs and seven runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 4.5 units and are 5-11 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in nine of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Dodgers have lost 0.3 units and are 3-3 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in one of those games, compared to five that’ve gone under.
Miami Marlins at Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Notes
The Marlins have lost eight of their last nine games SU while the Dodgers have won seven of their last eight SU.
Los Angeles has posted 23.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.8 over its last five.
The Marlins have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.
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