The Miami Marlins are set to play their divisional rival New York Mets at Citi Field. Pix11 will be showing the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins at New York Mets Odds
Vegas is listing New York (-190) as the favorite over Miami (+180). The total is sitting at 7 runs and gamblers can take the over for -115 and the under for -105. The game’s runline odds sit at -125 for taking the Marlins +1.5 runs and +105 for the Mets -1.5 runs.
The Mets are 24-20 SU and 21-22 ATS. They’ve gained 3.1 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 0.2 units against the spread (ATS). The Marlins are 18-30 SU and have gone 24-23 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 2.5 units for moneyline bettors over the early part of the year and 3.8 units ATS.
Neither team has established itself as a strong over/under play this season. Mets games have an over/under record of 20-22-1 so far in 2018. The Marlins have an over/under record of 23-24.
The right-handed Dan Straily is projected to start for the visiting Marlins. Straily is 2-0 with a 3.60 ERA and 14 strikeouts. He has yet to face New York this year, but he did make three starts against the Mets in 2017, compiling a 1-0 record against them with a 1.76 ERA and 17 strikeouts.
The Mets will send righty Jacob deGrom (4-0, 1.75 ERA) to the mound. deGrom has 69 punchouts and 14 walks to his name, as well as a 1.01 WHIP. deGrom is 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA across one starts against Miami this year.
Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.48 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 7.75 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.69, along with a K-per-9 of 9.02.
Marlins hitters have slashed .229/.300/.344 on their way to 3.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Miami’s offensive production been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is hitting .295/.335/.393 with 54 hits, 20 RBIs and 26 runs scored, while Anderson (.273/.357/.381) has produced 48 hits, 21 RBIs and 25 runs scored.
For the home team, New York’s pitching staff has yielded 4.4 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.22 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.75 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 21 divisional games, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.38 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.59.
New York’s offense is putting up 4.1 runs per outing, including 3.8 per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .237/.304/.385 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and outfielder Yoenis Cespedes have led the Mets’ hitters so far. Cabrera is hitting .317/.363/.539 with seven home runs, 27 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while the line for Cespedes stands at .255/.316/.474 with eight homers, 28 RBIs and 18 runs.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .280/.351/.434, Cabrera didn’t do as well batting at home last season, slashing .245/.315/.366 over 241 plate appearances.
The Marlins have lost 1.1 units and are 17-17 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 16 of those games, as opposed to 18 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have netted 2.2 units and are 14-17 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 16 that went under the total.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in four of New York’s last seven games.
Miami has posted 19.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.2 over its last five.
The Marlins have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.
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