The Miami Marlins will take on the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. Fox SportsNet Florida will be airing this interleague matchup and the game gets underway at 6:35 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Miami (+240) as the underdog to New York (-275). Bettors can gamble on the game’s total with odds posted at -120 for over 8.5 runs and even money (+100) for under 8.5. Gamblers can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds coming in at Marlins +1.5 runs (+110) and Yankees -1.5 runs (-130).
The Marlins are only 4-12 SU and are 5-11 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.3 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 7.4 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 8-7 SU and 8-7 ATS. They’ve lost 1.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.1 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven.
New York games have an over/under record of 10-4-1 so far in 2018. Miami has an over/under record of 9-7.
Jarlin Garcia will get the start for the visiting Marlins. The southpaw Garcia is 0-0 with a 1.13 ERA and 11 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Yankees this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Yankees will send righty Masahiro Tanaka (2-1, 5.19 ERA) to the mound. Tanaka has 18 strikeouts and two walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.04. Tanaka did not record a start against the Marlins in 2017.
Miami’s pitchers have allowed 6.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.56 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 7.65 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.19, along with a K-per-9 of 9.55.
Marlins hitters have slashed .223/.297/.302 on their way to 3.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Miami’s hitters have been led by shortstop Miguel Rojas and third baseman Brian Anderson. Rojas is slashing .302/.353/.444 with 19 hits, four RBIs and six runs scored, while Anderson is hitting .254 with 15 hits, 10 RBIs and eight runs scored.
Putting up a slash line of .250/.328/.306 across 122 plate appearances, Rojas did not seem to enjoy batting against righty pitching on the road in 2017 (compared to his total season line of .290/.361/.375).
In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff has given up 5.2 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 4.46, a WHIP of 1.27 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 4.48 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 13.4 K/9.
The New York hitters have produced 5.9 runs per outing, including 6.1 per game over its last 10 games and 6.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .289/.373/.517 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Shortstop Didi Gregorius and outfielder Aaron Judge have led the Yankees’ hitters so far. Gregorius is slashing .327/.446/.796 with five home runs, 16 RBIs and 14 runs scored, while Judge’s line is .351/.479/.614 with four homers, 11 RBIs and 15 runs scored.
Compared to his total season slash line of .287/.317/.478, Gregorius seemed to take a step back when hitting lefty pitching at home last season, slashing .289/.309/.382 over 81 such plate appearances.
The Marlins have lost 4.2 units and are 4-8 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in seven of those games, compared to five that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Yankees have netted 3.0 units and are 4-1 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in four of those games, compared to one that’ve cashed the under.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
The Marlins have lost six of their last seven games SU.
New York has recorded 25.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 27.6 over its last five.
The Marlins have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Yankees have hit 13 over their last 10.
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