The Miami Marlins are set to face the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET and this NL matchup will be shown on both ATPT and FSFL.
Miami Marlins at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Miami (+145) as the underdog to Pittsburgh (-155). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -125 and the under for +105. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at Marlins +1.5 runs (-150) and Pirates -1.5 runs (+130).
The Marlins are 56-85 SU and are 73-67 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.5 units for moneyline gamblers and 8.4 units ATS. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 70-71 SU and 67-73 ATS. They’ve lost 2.0 units for moneyline bettors and 12.8 units ATS.
Pirates games have a 62-69-9 over/under record in 2018. Miami has an over/under record of 70-66-4.
The left-handed Wei-Yin Chen is the projected starter for the visiting Marlins. Chen is 6-9 with a 4.64 ERA and 92 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Pirates this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Pirates are planning to start righty Ivan Nova (7-9, 4.35 ERA), who’s got 96 strikeouts and 29 walks, as well as a 1.29 WHIP. Nova is 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 4.05 ERA in one start against Miami this year.
Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.42 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.64 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.29, along with a K/9 of 8.00.
Marlins hitters have slashed .241/.308/.362 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including 3.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have paced Miami’s offense. Castro is slashing .288/.338/.411 with 11 home runs, 51 RBIs and 72 runs scored. Anderson (.271/.355/.395) is up to 10 homers, 58 RBIs and 77 runs scored.
For the home team, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.97 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.
The Pittsburgh hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 3.1 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .259/.295/.411 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Pirates’ offense has been led by outfielders Starling Marte and Corey Dickerson. Marte is slashing .278/.322/.455 with 18 home runs, 63 RBIs, 71 runs and 31 stolen bases, while Dickerson’s line sits at .290/.319/.451 with 11 homers, 46 RBIs and 56 runs.
The Marlins have gained 1.7 units and are 53-53 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 51 of those games, compared to 51 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 6.8 units and are 18-22 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in 24 of those games, compared to 15 that went under the total.
Miami Marlins at Pittsburgh Pirates Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in five of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.
Pittsburgh has posted 18.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.6 over its last five.
The Marlins have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit six over their last 10.
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