The Washington Nationals are playing host to the Miami Marlins at Nationals Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will broadcast the matchup.
Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals Odds
Miami (+182) is coming into this one as the underdog to Washington (-195) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Runline odds stand at -120 for taking the Marlins +1.5 runs and +100 for the Nationals -1.5 runs.
The Marlins are 48-76 SU and are 62-61 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.1 units for moneyline bettors and 13.5 units ATS. Miami’s covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 62-61 SU and 59-63 ATS. The team’s lost 22.0 units for moneyline bettors and 6.9 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Washington games have an over/under record of 51-68-3 in 2018. The Marlins have an over/under record of 61-58-4.
Wei-Yin Chen will get the nod for the visiting Marlins. The southpaw Chen (4-9, 5.32 ERA) has recorded 72 strikeouts in 94.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with nine strikeouts and a 6.17 ERA against Washington this year (two starts).
The Nationals are turning to lefty Tommy Milone (1-1, 5.24 ERA), who’s got 20 punchouts and one walks to his name as well as a 1.43 WHIP. Milone is 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA in one start against Miami this year.
As a unit, Washington’s pitching staff has allowed 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.87, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 3.82 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 50 divisional games, Nationals starters have an ERA of 4.26 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.22.
The Washington offense is putting up 4.6 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .273/.326/.443 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Nationals’ offense has been led by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon. Turner is hitting .267/.336/.407 with 14 home runs, 49 RBIs, 74 runs and 32 stolen bases, and Rendon is batting .298 with 16 homers, 60 RBIs and 57 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.65 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 7.68 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.19, along with a WHIP of 1.34.
Marlins hitters have slashed .240/.306/.358 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game this season, including 3.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (0-5 SU).
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson continue to lead Miami’s offense. Castro is hitting .281/.329/.399 with 10 home runs, 44 RBIs and 66 runs scored, while Anderson is hitting .276/.354/.400 with nine homers, 54 RBIs and 64 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 2.2 units and are 18-12 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 16 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 16.3 units and are 13-21 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 18 that went under the total.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has hit in four of Washington’s last seven games.
The Marlins have hit four home runs in their last 10 games, including three over their last five.
Miami has recorded 15.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 15.2 over its last five.
The Marlins have lost nine of their last 10 games SU.
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