The Washington Nationals are playing host to their NL East rival Miami Marlins at Nationals Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will showcase the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals Odds
Washington (-330) is favored over Miami (+265) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 7.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at +135 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and -155 for the Nationals -1.5.
The Nationals are 79-78 straight up (SU) and 73-83 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 27.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.8 units (ATS). Washington has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Marlins are 62-94 SU and have gone 81-74 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 1.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.2 units ATS. Miami’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Washington games have had an over/under record of 72-81-3 in 2018. Miami has an over/under record of 76-74-5.
Jeff Brigham will get the start for Miami. Brigham is 0-3 with a 5.84 ERA and 10 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Nationals this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Nationals are putting the ball in the hands of righty ace Max Scherzer (17-7, 2.57 ERA), who’s got 290 strikeouts and 51 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 0.92. Scherzer is 4-0 with 25 strikeouts and a 2.67 ERA across four starts against Miami this year.
As a unit, Washington’s pitchers have yielded 4.2 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.04, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 3.92 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 74 games against NL East foes, Nationals starters have an ERA of 4.24 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.18.
Washington’s offense is putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .243/.342/.445 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Nationals’ offense has been led by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon. Turner is slashing .273/.346/.415 with 18 home runs, 68 RBIs, 101 runs and 43 stolen bases, and Rendon is hitting .308 with 23 homers, 87 RBIs and 85 runs.
In the other dugout, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.39 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.67 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.33, along with a WHIP of 1.30 and a K/9 of 7.98.
The Marlins offense has slashed .238/.305/.359 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have led Miami’s offense. Castro is hitting .278/.329/.400 with 12 home runs, 54 RBIs and 76 runs scored. Anderson (.272/.356/.394) is up to 10 homers, 61 RBIs and 85 runs scored.
The Marlins have gained 4.6 units and are 60-58 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over’s hit in 57 of those games, compared to 56 that’ve gone under against -handed starting pitchers.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in three of Washington’s last seven games.
The Marlins have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Nationals have hit 12 over their last 10.
Miami has recorded 19.9 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.8 over its last five.
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