Jon Gray (8-4, 3.77 ERA) and Adam Conley (7-6, 3.41 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Colorado Rockies (55-55) and the Miami Marlins (58-52) at Coors Field. The Rockies won the last game 12-6, and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 7 and can be seen on FSFL and RTRM.
Gray pitched 5.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering zero runs, striking out six and walking two in a 7-3 win over the Dodgers. Carlos Gonzalez (.321, 72 Rs, 23 HRs, 76 RBIs, 2 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run and one RBI. Conley went 4.0 innings, surrendering two runs, striking out four and walking six in a 5-0 defeat to the Cubs in his last outing. Giancarlo Stanton (.242, 50 Rs, 23 HRs, 63 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs.
Colorado is a -125 favorite against Miami and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at 11 runs. The Rockies have an overall money line of +382 and a record as the favorite of 24-17. The Rockies have no trouble scoring as they lead the NL in offense with 5.1 runs per game. The Rockies lead the NL in hits at home with a phenomenal 10.5 per game. Colorado is one of the best in the NL in terms of walks at home, earning an average of 3.7 per game. Colorado’s pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 2.8 runs per game, well under their season average of 5.0.
In games where it is the underdog, Miami has a 30-26 record and an overall money line of +425. The Marlins are tough outs for opponents, leading the NL with 9.4 hits per game. Miami is excellent at making contact with just 7.5 strikeouts per game, ranking second in the NL.
The Marlins lead the season series, 4-2. The Rockies have a 14-16 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Conley takes the mound. Gray (RHP) will be on the hill against the Marlins, who have a 40-44 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – COL, O/U – Over
Notes
The Rockies are coming into this matchup after a high-scoring game where they scored a whopping 12 runs. The Marlins have a 0-2 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 7-34. The Rockies have an 11-40 record when opponents outhit them.
Miami ranks near the bottom of the league at 29th when it comes to home runs, hitting 91 this season. Colorado ranks in the top half with 137.
Miami tops the league in hits with 9.42 per game this season. Colorado ranks in the top five at second with 9.28.
Ranking 15th, Miami is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.741). Colorado ranks in the top five at second with an OPS of .791.
When the Marlins allow at least one home run, they are 24-32. When the Rockies allow one or more homers, they have a 27-42 record.
