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Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies Matchup

Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports

The Philadelphia Phillies are trying to avoid losing their fourth straight game they play host to the Miami Marlins at Citizens Bank Park. The matchup will get underway at 3:05 p.m. ET and Fox SportsNet Florida will be televising the game.

Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Miami (-155) is favored against Philadelphia (+135) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at +140 for taking the Marlins +1.5 runs and -150 for the Phillies -1.5.

The Phillies are 1-4 SU and 0-4 ATS. They’ve lost 2.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.9 units against the spread (ATS). The Marlins have gone 2-4 SU this year and are 2-4 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 0.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 1.9 units ATS.

Phillies games have had an over/under record of 2-1-1 in 2018. Miami has an over/under record of 3-3.

The Phillies are coming off of a 4-2 loss against the Mets, while the Marlins just lost a 4-2 game to the Red Sox.

Left-hander Caleb Smith (0-0, 1.69 ERA) will get the nod for the visiting Marlins. Smith recorded 18 strikeouts over 18 innings last year with 10 walks while finishing the season 0-1 overall with a 7.71 ERA and a 1.66 WHIP.

The Phillies will put the ball in the hands of righty Nick Pivetta (0-0, 6.75 ERA), who recorded 140 strikeouts across 133 innings last year (with 57 walks), while finishing the season 8-10 overall with a 6.02 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP. He made four starts against the Marlins a year ago and compiled a 1-1 record with an 8.66 ERA and 16 strikeouts.

Philadelphia’s pitching staff has yielded 6.6 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have a 4.76 ERA, 1.63 WHIP and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 6.86 ERA, 1.57 WHIP and 6.9 K/9. In five games against divisional opponents, Phillies starters have an ERA of 4.76 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.86.

The Philadelphia hitters are putting up 2.8 runs per outing so far this season and the team has a slash-line of .183/.276/.293 to begin the year.

Rhys Hoskins has helped lead the Phillies’ offense this season with eight hits, three RBIs and two runs scored. .

For the visiting squad, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.55 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.53 K/9. The bullpen has logged a solid ERA of just 3.06, along with a K-per-9 of 8.15.

Marlins hitters have slashed .236/.330/.306 on their way to 3.8 runs scored per game in 2018.

Miami’s offense has been paced by Brian Anderson. Anderson is slashing .320/.469/.480 with eight hits, six RBIs and six runs scored.

Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Trends

The Marlins went 8-11 SU against the Phillies last season.

The Marlins have lost three of their last four games SU

The Marlins’ bullpen posted 4.52 ERA against the Phillies last year.

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Written by GMS Previews

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