In the first of a four-game series between the Miami Marlins (16-22) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (16-22) at Marlins Park, Dan Haren (4-2, 3.70 ERA) and Rubby De La Rosa (4-2, 4.50 ERA) get the start. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Monday, May. 18 and will air on FSN-FL and FSN-AZ.
Haren has a 3.42 ERA and a 6-2 record in his career against the Diamondbacks, and faces a strong Arizona offense that’s hitting .268 on the year. Dee Gordon (.420, 21 Rs, 14 RBIs, 12 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. In his pitching opportunities against the Marlins, De La Rosa is 1-0 with a 4.50 ERA, one strike out and one walk. Mark Trumbo (.282, 15 Rs, 6 HRs, 19 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday.
Miami is a -140 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. When playing as the favorite, the Marlins have an 8-10 record and overall money line at -572. They have struggled as the favorite over their last 10 games, going 0-2. The Marlins are a stellar hitting team with 9.1 hits per game, one of the highest marks in the NL.
On the other side, the Diamondbacks have a subpar record of 9-14 when they are the underdog and are -341 overall with the money line. The top road hitting team in the NL are the Diamondbacks, who average 10.0 hits in games away from home. Arizona is a terror on the base paths, ranking fifth in the MLB with 28 stolen bases. Shifting to the pitching staff, they allow just 2.6 walks per road game, second-best in the NL.
The Marlins will take on a right-hander (De La Rosa) in this game. They have struggled against right-handed starting pitchers this season, going 11-19. The right-handed Haren will take the mound against the Diamondbacks, who have an 11-15 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – ARI, O/U – Over
Notes
The Marlins are 1-0 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks are 2-2 in such matchups.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Diamondbacks are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Marlins have a 2-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 14-7. The Diamondbacks have a 10-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 20th in runs, Miami has earned 151 this season. Arizona ranks ninth with 169 runs.
Miami and Arizona both rank in the bottom half of the league in walks. Miami sits at 20th with 99 this season and Arizona ranks 18th with 104.
When the Marlins hit at least one home run, they are 7-11. When the Diamondbacks hit at least one homer, they have a 13-6 record.
