Mat Latos (1-4, 5.54 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (16-25) meet Archie Bradley (2-1, 3.27 ERA) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (18-21) in the last of a four-game series at Marlins Park. The Marlins lost the last game 6-1, extending a six-game losing streak. Arizona can finish out the series sweep with a win in this game. The game gets underway at 12:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, May. 21 and will air on FSN-AZ and MLB Network.
Latos is 4-1 with a 2.61 ERA against the Diamondbacks in his career, but faces a strong Arizona offense that’s hitting .267 on the year. The Diamondbacks were unsuccessful to the Phillies 7-5 the last time Bradley pitched. He went 2.0 innings, allowing four runs, striking out one and walking three. Yasmany Tomas (.346, 9 Rs, 1 HR, 11 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been doing well, going 2 for 5 yesterday.
Miami is a -138 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Marlins have a losing record of 8-13 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of -954. They have a winless record (0-5) in games played as the favorite during their last 10 games. Miami has averaged 2.7 runs per game over the last 10 games, lower than its season average of 3.9. As for the pitching staff, the Marlins don’t give up many walks to opposing batters at Marlins Park, ranking fifth in the NL with only 2.5 walks allowed per home game.
On the other side, the Diamondbacks have a record of 11-14 when they are the underdog and are -244 overall with the money line. The top hitting team in the NL are the Diamondbacks, who average 9.4 hits per game. Arizona is a terror on the base paths, ranking fifth in the MLB with 35 stolen bases. Switching gears to Arizona’s pitching staff, they allow just 2.6 hits per road game, good for third in the NL.
The previous three games have all gone Arizona’s way. This game will feature Bradley (RHP) on the mound against the Marlins, who have an 11-22 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Latos will take the mound against the Diamondbacks, who have a 13-16 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – ARI, O/U – Over
Notes
The Diamondbacks are 3-2 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Marlins are 1-1 in such matchups.
The Diamondbacks are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Marlins have a 4-9 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 2-16. The Diamondbacks have a 3-15 record when opponents outhit them.
Miami ranks near the bottom of the league at 27th when it comes to home runs, hitting 26 this season. Arizona ranks in the bottom half at 18th with 34.
Arizona tops the league in hits with 9.45 per game this season. Miami ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 8.78.
Ranking 24th, Miami is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.678). Arizona ranks in the top half at 11th with an OPS of .722.
The Diamondbacks are 9-16 when they allow at least one home run. The Marlins perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with an 8-14 record.
