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Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pick and Odds

Jarred Cosart (1-3, 4.08 ERA) and Jeremy Hellickson (1-3, 5.92 ERA) are on the hill in the second of a four-game series between the Miami Marlins (16-23) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (16-21) at Marlins Park. The Diamondbacks won the last game 3-2 and Arizona leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May. 19 and can be seen on FSN-AZ and FSN-FL.

Cosart pitched 5.1 innings in his most recent start, surrendering four runs, striking out four and walking three in a 5-4 defeat to the Dodgers. Hellickson is 0-0 with a 5.59 ERA against the Marlins in his career. He takes on a good Miami offense that’s batting .261. Paul Goldschmidt (.328, 30 Rs, 10 HRs, 32 RBIs, 6 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one run.

Miami is a -132 favorite against Arizona and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Marlins have an overall money line of -694 and a record as the favorite of 8-11. Miami has gone winless in its last 10 as the favorite.

As for their opponent, Arizona is coming in with an overall money line of -484 and a disappointing record of 9-14 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-3 record, and a 3-7 record SU. The Diamondbacks are tough outs for opponents, leading the NL with 9.5 hits per game. The Diamondbacks are an excellent base stealing team with 29 stolen bases, ranking fifth in the MLB. When it comes to issuing walks on the road, the Diamondbacks have the third-fewest in the NL with an average of just 2.7 walks allowed per game.

The Diamondbacks have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Marlins have a bad 11-20 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Hellickson takes the mound. Cosart (RHP) will be on the hill against the Diamondbacks, who have an 11-16 record against right-handed starting pitchers.

Predictions: SU Winner – ARI, O/U – Over

Notes

When leading after 7 innings, Arizona is 9-4, while Miami is 7-11.

The Marlins are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Diamondbacks have a 4-7 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.

When they are outhit, the Marlins are 2-14. The Diamondbacks have a 3-15 record when opponents outhit them.

Ranking 28th in home runs, Miami has hit 25 this season. Arizona ranks 18th with 33 home runs.

Arizona tops the league in hits with 9.47 per game this season. Miami ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 8.92.

Ranking 23rd, Miami is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.688). Arizona ranks in the top 10 at 10th with an OPS of .725.

The Diamondbacks are 8-16 when they allow at least one home run. The Marlins perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with an 8-13 record.

Written by GMS Previews

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