Tom Koehler (10-10, 3.81 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (0-2) go up against Shelby Miller (10-9, 3.74 ERA) and the Atlanta Braves (2-0) in the last of a three-game division series at Marlins Park. The Braves won the last game 12-2 and Atlanta leads the series 2-0. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Apr. 8 and will air on FSN-S and FSN-FL.
Koehler is 0-2 with a 3.15 ERA, 40 strikeouts and 14 walks against the Braves in his career. Marcell Ozuna (.429 ) went 1 for 4 yesterday. In his career against the Marlins, Miller is 0-1 with a 6.97 ERA, 1.94 WHIP, and seven strikeouts. Nick Markakis (.375 ) has been doing well to start the season for the Braves, going 2 for 4 yesterday with two runs and one RBI.
Miami is a -132 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. The Marlins have started off poorly when they’re the favorite with a 0-2 record as well as a -279 overall money line.
Switching gears, the Braves are coming into the game in great standing. They are unbeaten so far this season as the underdog (2-0) and have an overall money line of +259. The Braves rank second in the NL in scoring, averaging 7.0 runs per game. One of the top hitting teams in the NL are the Braves, who average 10.0 hits per game. The Braves have racked up two steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league. The Braves are one of the top pitching staffs in the NL, essentially shutting down opponents to the tune of 1.5 runs allowed per game.
The previous two games have all gone Atlanta’s way.
Predictions: SU Winner – ATL, O/U – Over
Notes
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami’s last 12 games.
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
Miami is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami’s last 8 games at home.
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta.
Miami is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta.
The Braves won their last game by a 10-run margin. In games decided by a margin of 10 runs or more, the Marlins are 0-1. The Braves are 1-0 in blowouts this season.
It looks like the Braves have a slight leg up on the Marlins, as the Braves have won their last two games while the Marlins have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 0-1. The Braves have a 1-0 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 16th, Miami is in the bottom half of the league in runs, scoring three this season. Atlanta ranks in the top five at second with 14.
Ranking eighth, Miami is in the top 10 of the league in walks, notching six this season. Atlanta ranks in the top five at second with eight.
