In the last of a four-game series between the Miami Marlins (27-36) and the Colorado Rockies (27-36) at Marlins Park, Dan Haren (6-2, 3.12 ERA) and Jorge De La Rosa (3-2, 5.53 ERA) get the start. The Marlins won the last game 4-1 and Miami can finish out the series sweep with a win in this game. The game gets underway at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jun. 14 and will air on ROOT-RM and FSN-FL.
Haren has a 5.12 ERA and a 7-9 record in his career against the Rockies, and faces a solid Colorado offense that’s hitting .271 on the year. Giancarlo Stanton (.260, 41 Rs, 23 HRs, 59 RBIs, 4 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 3 with one run, one home run, and four RBIs. In his career against the Marlins, De La Rosa is 5-5 with a 5.71 ERA. He meets a strong Miami offense that’s batting .260. DJ LeMahieu (.347, 29 Rs, 3 HRs, 29 RBIs, 6 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run and one stolen base.
Miami, a -130 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Colorado. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is seven runs. When playing as the favorite, the Marlins have a 13-17 record and overall money line at -1,166. Over the last 10 games, they have a very good record when playing as the favorite (3-1). The Marlins rank fourth in the NL in hits with 9.0 per game. As for the pitching staff, the Marlins don’t give up many hits to opposing batters at Marlins Park, ranking fifth in the NL with only 8.5 hits allowed per home game.
Across the field, the Rockies have a record of 22-22 when they are the underdog and are -278 overall with the money line. Colorado is one of the top hitting teams in the league with 188 extra base hits.
The Marlins had the upper hand against the Rockies in their previous six games this season, earning a 5-1 record. The Marlins will take on a left-hander (De La Rosa) in this game and have an 8-5 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Haren will take the mound against the Rockies, who have a 24-25 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – MIA, O/U – Over
Notes
The Marlins are 3-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Rockies are 1-4 in such matchups.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Rockies are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Marlins have a 9-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 4-23. The Rockies have a 4-22 record when opponents outhit them.
Miami ranks in the bottom half of the league at 19th when it comes to home runs, hitting 52 this season. Colorado ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 68.
Miami and Colorado both rank in the top five of the league in hits. Miami sits at fourth with 9.00 hits per game and Colorado ranks third with 9.40.
Ranking 19th, Miami is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.694). Colorado ranks in the top five at third with an OPS of .749.
When the Rockies allow at least one home run, they are 12-24, well-matched with the Marlins who are 12-22 when allowing at least one homer.