In the third of a four-game series between the Miami Marlins (26-36) and the Colorado Rockies (26-36) at Marlins Park, Mat Latos (1-4, 6.12 ERA) and David Hale (2-0, 4.12 ERA) get the start. The Marlins won the last game 5-1 and Miami leads the series 2-0. The game gets underway at 4:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jun. 13 and will air on ROOT-RM and FSN-FL.
Latos is 5-2 with a 3.79 ERA against the Rockies in his career, and faces a strong Colorado offense that’s hitting .273 on the year. Giancarlo Stanton (.254, 40 Rs, 22 HRs, 55 RBIs, 4 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 3 with one run. In his pitching opportunities against the Marlins, Hale is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA. He gets a solid Miami offense that’s batting .262. DJ LeMahieu (.349, 28 Rs, 3 HRs, 29 RBIs, 5 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Miami is a -135 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Marlins have a 12-17 record and overall money line at -1,266. The Marlins rank fourth in the NL in hits with 9.0 per game. Transitioning to the pitching staff, the Marlins are fifth in the NL in hits allowed at home with just 8.5 per game.
Switching gears, the Rockies come into this game with a win percentage of .512 when playing as the underdog (22-21) and an overall money line of -178. The Rockies are known for their bats, hitting 186 extra base hits.
In their previous five games this season, the Marlins have a 4-1 record. The Marlins will take on a right-hander (Hale) in this game. They have struggled against right-handed starting pitchers this season, going 17-31. The right-handed Latos will take the mound against the Rockies, who have a 24-24 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – MIA, O/U – Over
Notes
When the Marlins play into extra innings, they have a 3-1 record. The Rockies are 1-4 when their games exceed nine innings.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Rockies are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Marlins have an 8-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 3-23. The Rockies have a 4-22 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 21st in home runs, Miami has hit 51 this season. Colorado ranks sixth with 68 home runs.
Miami and Colorado both rank in the top five of the league in hits. Miami sits at fourth with 9.02 hits per game and Colorado ranks second with 9.44.
Ranking 18th, Miami is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.696). Colorado ranks in the top five at third with an OPS of .753.
The Rockies are 12-23 when they allow at least one home run. The Marlins perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 12-22 record.
