The Miami Marlins will head west to Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers. The game gets underway 10:10 p.m. ET and Fox SportsNet Florida is in line to televise this NL matchup.
Miami Marlins at Los Angeles Dodgers Odds
The Marlins are only 5-16 SU and have gone 7-13 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.7 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in this young season and 8.0 units ATS. Miami is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Dodgers, on the other hand, are 10-10 SU and 8-11 ATS. The team’s lost 7.1 units for moneyline bettors and 3.1 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in six of those seven.
Dodgers games have an over/under record of 11-8 so far in 2018. Marlins games have gone over 12 times, gone under eight times and pushed on zero occasions.
The left-handed Jarlin Garcia is projected to start for the visiting Marlins. Garcia is 1-0 with a 0.86 ERA and 13 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Dodgers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Dodgers are putting the ball in the right hand of Walker Buehler (0-0, ERA, WHIP), who has zero punchouts and zero walks this season. Buehler did not record a start against the Marlins in 2017.
Los Angeles’ pitching staff has allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.35 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 10.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.79 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 10.0 K/9.
The Los Angeles hitters have produced 4.7 runs per outing, including 6.1 per game over its last 10 games and 6.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .266/.356/.446 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Dodgers’ offense has been led by catcher Yasmani Grandal and left fielder Matt Kemp. Grandal is slashing .349/.446/.587 with three home runs, 16 RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Kemp’s line is .321/.362/.547 with three homers, 10 RBIs and seven runs scored.
Compared to his total season slash line of .276/.318/.463, Kemp appeared to have a little trouble facing lefty pitching at home last season, producing .256/.347/.326 across 49 plate appearances.
In the visiting dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 6.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.56 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 7.94 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.61, along with a K-per-9 of 10.26.
The Marlins offense has slashed .224/.298/.310 on its way to 3.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Miami’s hitters have been led by third baseman Brian Anderson and first baseman Justin Bour. Anderson is slashing .253/.385/.360 with 19 hits, 11 RBIs and nine runs scored, while Bour (.243/.325/.432) is up to 18 hits, four homers, 13 RBIs and seven runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 3.5 units and are 5-10 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in nine of those games, as opposed to six that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Dodgers have lost 0.3 units and are 3-3 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in one of those games, compared to five that went under the total.
Miami Marlins at Los Angeles Dodgers Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Notes
The Marlins have lost seven of their last eight games SU while the Dodgers have won six of their last seven SU.
Miami has recorded 17.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.6 over its last five.
The Marlins have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
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