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Miami Marlins vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Pick

In the first of a three-game series between the Miami Marlins (30-44) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (30-44) at Marlins Park, Justin Nicolino (1-0, 0.00 ERA) and Brett Anderson (3-4, 3.29 ERA) get the ball. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Jun. 26 and will air on SportsNet LA and FSN-FL.

In his last start, Nicolino pitched 7.0 innings, giving up zero runs, striking out two and walking two in a 5-0 victory over the Reds. Giancarlo Stanton (.269, 47 Rs, 27 HRs, 67 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday. In his career against the Marlins, Anderson is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and two strikeouts. Justin Turner (.324, 28 Rs, 10 HRs, 35 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run.

Miami is a +127 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Marlins have a losing record of 15-25 when playing as the underdog and an overall money line of -1,455. Over the last 10 games, they have performed poorly when playing as the underdog (2-6). The Marlins are third in the NL in hits allowed at home with just 8.1 per game.

Across the field, the Dodgers have a record of 35-30 when they are favored and are -607 overall with the money line. They have played poorly when rated as favorite as of late. They managed a 2-6 record when playing as the favorite and an SU record of 4-6. Los Angeles is one of the top home-run-hitting teams in the league with 95 home runs. The Dodgers average 3.5 walks per game, making them the most disciplined team in the NL. The Dodgers are one of the top pitching staffs in the NL, essentially shutting down opponents to the tune of 3.4 runs allowed per game. They have a WHIP of 1.19, second best in the MLB.

In their previous three games this season, the Dodgers have a 2-1 record. This game will feature Anderson (LHP) on the mound against the Marlins, who have an 8-8 record when they take on a left-handed starter. The right-handed Nicolino will take the mound against the Dodgers, who have a 37-25 record against righty starters this season.

Predictions: SU Winner – LAD, O/U – Over

Notes

For the fifth time this season, the Marlins registered at least two errors in a game.

The Marlins are 3-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Dodgers are 3-3 in such matchups.

After a weak showing last week where they got in six hits, the Dodgers need to step it up. The Marlins have a record of 15-7 when opponents get six hits or fewer.

When they are outhit, the Marlins are 4-28. The Dodgers have a 9-22 record when opponents outhit them.

Ranking 20th in home runs, Miami has hit 62 this season. Los Angeles ranks third with 95 home runs.

Ranking 11th, Los Angeles is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.37 per game. Miami ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.79.

Ranking 22nd, Miami is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.687). Los Angeles ranks in the top five at second with an OPS of .765.

The Dodgers are 16-23 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Marlins are 13-28 when they allow at least one homer.

Written by GMS Previews

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