The Miami Marlins will be taking on the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin is in line to broadcast this NL matchup and the game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Vegas has listed Milwaukee (-170) as the favorite over Miami (+160). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds listed at -110 for over 9.5 runs and -110 for under 9.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at Marlins +1.5 runs (-135) and Brewers +-1.5 runs (+115).
The Marlins have gone only 5-14 SU this year and are 6-12 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.7 units for moneyline bettors over the early portions of the season and 7.5 units ATS. Miami is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 12-9 SU and 11-9 ATS. The team’s gained 2.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.0 unit ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Brewers games have had an over/under record of 9-11 thus far in 2018. The Marlins have an over/under record of 11-7.
Jose Urena will get the start for the visiting Marlins. The right-handed Urena is 0-3 with a 5.57 ERA and 18 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 3.86 ERA and three strikeouts over 4.2 innings).
The Brewers are sending lefty Brent Suter (1-2, 4.87 ERA) to the mound. Suter has 15 strikeouts and five walks to his credit, as well as a 1.38 WHIP. Suter did not record a start against the Marlins in 2017.
Miami’s pitchers have allowed 6.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.64 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and 7.62 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.63, along with a WHIP of 1.56.
The Marlins offense has slashed .223/.299/.305 on its way to 3.3 runs scored per game this year, including 3.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Third baseman Brian Anderson and first baseman Justin Bour have led Miami’s hitters. Anderson is slashing .235/.373/.338 with 16 hits, 10 RBIs and nine runs scored, while Bour (.224/.307/.418) has produced 15 hits, four homers, 11 RBIs and six runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have given up 3.9 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 3.89 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.89, a WHIP of 1.17 and a K/9 of 10.6.
The Milwaukee hitters are putting up 4.0 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .284/.389/.481 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.
Eric Thames and Lorenzo Cain have led the Brewers’ offense so far. Thames is hitting .250/.354/.679 with seven home runs, 12 RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Cain’s line sits at .304/.402/.478 with 21 hits, seven RBIs and 12 runs.
The Marlins have lost 1.1 units and are 1-3 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in two of those games, compared to two that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 2.5 units and are 8-6 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in six of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under.
Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
The Marlins have lost five of their last six games SU.
Milwaukee has posted 22.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.0 over its last five.
The Marlins have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 16 over their last 10.
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