Taylor Jungmann (9-5, 2.42 ERA) takes the hill for the Milwaukee Brewers (61-76) as they square off against Adam Conley (3-1, 5.02 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (57-81) in the second of a three-game series at Marlins Park. The Brewers won the last game 9-1 and Milwaukee leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Sep. 8 and can be seen on FSFL and FSWI.
Conley pitched 5.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs, striking out four and walking three in a 7-3 win over the Braves. Justin Bour (.257, 32 Rs, 16 HRs, 51 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. Jungmann went 6.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out three and walking two in a 5-3 win over the Pirates in his most recent start. Ryan Braun (.285, 82 Rs, 25 HRs, 81 RBIs, 22 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Brewers, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
Milwaukee takes on Miami as a -130 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at seven runs. The Marlins have recorded an overall money line of -1,830 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 34-53. The Marlins are one of the best in the MLB in terms of extra base hits with 330. Miami is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 98 bases.
In games where it is the favorite, Milwaukee has a 26-28 record and an overall money line of -1,519. Offensively, the Brewers have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 4.1 runs per game by averaging 5.9 during that stretch. Milwaukee is excellent at not striking out with just 7.7 per game, ranking fifth in the NL.
The Marlins have a 45-63 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Jungmann takes the mound. Conley (LHP) will be on the hill against the Brewers, who have a 19-14 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – Mil, O/U – Over
Notes
Having scored one run in their last game, the Marlins are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Brewers have a 23-2 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 10-59. The Marlins have an 11-53 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 29th in home runs, Miami has hit 101 this season. Milwaukee ranks 19th with 125 home runs.
Miami and Milwaukee both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Miami sits at seventh with 8.66 hits per game and Milwaukee ranks ninth with 8.58.
Ranking 29th, Miami is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.685). Milwaukee ranks in the bottom half at 19th with an OPS of .715.
The Brewers are 34-54 when they allow at least one home run. The Marlins perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 26-52 record.
