Jacob deGrom (12-7, 2.32 ERA) is on the hill for the New York Mets (74-59) as they square off against Tom Koehler (8-13, 4.12 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (55-79) in the first of a three-game series at Marlins Park. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Sep. 4 and can be seen on FSFL and SNY.
Koehler pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering five runs and striking out four in a 5-1 defeat to the Nationals. deGrom went 6.0 innings, surrendering two runs, striking out 10 and walking two in a 3-1 defeat to the Red Sox in his most recent start. Yoenis Cespedes (.293, 85 Rs, 28 HRs, 87 RBIs, 7 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Mets, going 3 for 5 Wednesday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
The odds for Miami and New York are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is unavailable as of now. Within its division, Miami has a record of 21-33 SU. The Marlins are one of the best in the MLB in terms of extra base hits with 322. Miami is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 97 bases.
The Mets are 36-18 against NL East rivals. Offensively, the Mets have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 4.1 runs per game by averaging 7.0 during that stretch. New York’s pitching staff is one of the top in the NL, with a 3.42 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Mets are the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.17 for the season.
The Mets have controlled the season series, 9-4. The Marlins have a 44-62 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when deGrom takes the mound. Koehler (RHP) will be on the hill against the Mets, who have a 58-46 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYM
Notes
Miami has won 38% (26-42) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, New York has won 57% (29-22) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Mets are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Marlins have an 18-37 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 39-20. The Mets have a 53-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 28th in runs, Miami has earned 499 this season. New York ranks 16th with 550 runs.
Ranking 28th, Miami is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 313 this season. New York ranks in the top half at 14th with 384.
When the Marlins hit at least one home run, they are 34-39. When the Mets hit at least one homer, they have a 49-24 record.
