The Miami Marlins will head north to Citi Field to face their division rival New York Mets. SportsNet New York will be showing the action. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Miami (+130) as the underdog to New York (-140). Bettors are able to gamble on the game’s total with odds posted at -110 for over 8 runs and -110 for under 8. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -170 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and +150 for the Mets -1.5.
The Mets are 65-77 straight up (SU) and 70-71 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 11.5 units for moneyline bettors and 7.6 units (ATS). New York has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 56-86 SU and have gone 73-69 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 3.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.1 units ATS. Miami is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
New York games have a 63-70-8 over/under record in 2018. Miami has an over/under record of 70-67-5.
Jose Urena will get the start for the visiting Marlins. The right-handed Urena is 5-12 with a 4.41 ERA and 117 strikeouts. He’s 0-2 with seven strikeouts and a 6.10 ERA against New York this year (two starts).
The Mets are handing the ball to righty Jacob deGrom (8-8, 1.68 ERA), who has 230 strikeouts and 42 walks, as well as a WHIP of 0.96. deGrom is 0-1 with 22 strikeouts and a 3.32 ERA across three starts against Miami this year.
Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.43 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.67 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.28, along with a WHIP of 1.30.
The Marlins offense has slashed .240/.308/.361 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson continue to lead Miami’s offense. Castro is slashing .288/.338/.412 with 11 home runs, 51 RBIs and 72 runs scored, while Anderson (.270/.356/.394) has produced 10 homers, 58 RBIs and 77 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.79, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 4.97 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.4 K/9. In 59 games against NL East opponents, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.70 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.97.
The New York hitters have put up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .272/.340/.486 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Mets’ offense has been led by shortstop Amed Rosario and right fielder Michael Conforto. Rosario is slashing .256/.298/.386 with seven home runs, 43 RBIs, 66 runs and 18 steals, and Conforto’s line is .233/.339/.418 with 23 homers, 63 RBIs and 66 runs.
The Mets have lost 5.4 units and are 51-50 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 47 of those games, compared to 48 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Miami has recorded 12 extra-base hits over its last five contests. New York has 21 XBH over its last five.
The Marlins have dropped three of their last four games SU.
Miami has posted 20.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 15.8 over its last five.
The Marlins have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 10 over their last 10.
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