The New York Mets will welcome the Miami Marlins to Citi Field in the 2 game of a NL East doubleheader. SportsNet New York will broadcast the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:40 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Odds
Vegas is listing Miami (+135) as the underdog to New York (-145). The total is sitting at 8.5 runs and bettors can take the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -160 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and +140 for the Mets -1.5 runs.
The Mets are 65-78 straight up (SU) and 70-71 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 11.5 units for moneyline bettors and 7.6 units (ATS). The Marlins have gone 57-86 SU this year and are 73-69 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 3.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.1 units ATS.
Mets games have an over/under record of 63-70-8 in 2018. Miami has an over/under record of 70-67-5.
Jeff Brigham will get the start for Miami. Brigham (0-1, 9.00 ERA) has recorded two strikeouts in three innings so far. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Mets will send lefty Jason Vargas (5-9, 6.75 ERA) to the mound. Vargas has 63 strikeouts and 26 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.60. Vargas is 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Miami this year.
Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.40 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.67 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.29, along with a WHIP of 1.30.
The Marlins offense has slashed .240/.307/.362 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game this season, including 3.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Miami’s hitters have been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is hitting .286/.337/.410 with 11 home runs, 51 RBIs and 72 runs scored, while Anderson (.272/.357/.399) is up to 10 homers, 59 RBIs and 79 runs scored.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have given up 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.78, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 5.01 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.4 K/9. In 60 games against NL East opponents, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.67 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.05.
The New York hitters are putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .246/.330/.449 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Shortstop Amed Rosario and right fielder Michael Conforto have led the Mets’ hitters this year. Rosario is hitting .254/.295/.382 with seven home runs, 43 RBIs, 66 runs and 18 stolen bases, while Conforto’s line is .236/.341/.427 with 24 homers, 64 RBIs and 67 runs.
The Marlins have lost 3.2 units and are 20-14 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over’s hit in 19 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under against y starters.
Miami Marlins at New York Mets Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has hit in just two of Miami’s last seven games.
New York has posted 20.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.2 over its last five.
The Marlins have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.
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