The Miami Marlins will face off against their divisional rival New York Mets at Citi Field. The action will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Pix11 to catch the game.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Odds
Miami (+165) is coming into this one as the underdog to New York (-175) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 7.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at -135 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and +115 for the Mets -1.5.
The Marlins have gone 63-96 SU this year and are 81-77 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.6 units for moneyline bettors and 12.4 units ATS. Miami is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 75-85 SU and 80-78 ATS. The team’s lost 9.0 units for moneyline bettors and 5.3 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Mets games have an over/under record of 69-80-9 in 2018. The Marlins have an over/under record of 79-74-5.
Trevor Richards is getting the start for the visiting Marlins. Richards is 4-9 with a 4.66 ERA and 122 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with two strikeouts and a 7.20 ERA against New York this year.
The Mets are handing the ball to lefty Steven Matz (5-11, 4.14 ERA), who’s got 144 strikeouts and 57 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.27. Matz is 1-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 2.31 ERA across two starts against Miami this year.
As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has allowed 4.4 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have a 3.60 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.02 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 74 divisional games, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.40 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.06.
The New York hitters are putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .228/.351/.373 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Mets’ hitters have been led by shortstop Amed Rosario and outfielder Michael Conforto. Rosario is slashing .257/.296/.383 with nine home runs, 51 RBIs, 76 runs and 22 steals, while Conforto’s line is .243/.351/.451 with 28 homers, 82 RBIs and 77 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.40 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 7.60 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.39, along with a WHIP of 1.31.
The Marlins offense has slashed .239/.306/.359 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game this season, including 3.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Miami’s hitters have been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is slashing .278/.329/.399 with 12 home runs, 54 RBIs and 76 runs scored, while Anderson (.275/.359/.403) is up to 11 homers, 65 RBIs and 87 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 6.2 units and are 21-16 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 19 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve gone under against -handed starting pitchers.
Miami Marlins at New York Mets Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Miami has recorded 10 extra-base hits over its last five contests. New York has 14 XBH over its last five.
Miami fielders have committed three errors over their last five games, compared to six errors for New York over its last five.
The Marlins have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit seven over their last 10.
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