David Phelps (3-3, 4.11 ERA) and Nathan Eovaldi (5-1, 4.13 ERA) take the hill in the second of a two-game series between the Miami Marlins (28-37) and the New York Yankees (34-29) at Marlins Park. The Marlins won the last game 2-1 and Miami leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 16 and can be seen on YES and FSN-FL.
Phelps pitched 8.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering zero runs, striking out six and walking one in a 6-0 win over the Rockies. Giancarlo Stanton (.261, 41 Rs, 23 HRs, 59 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday. Eovaldi went 7.0 innings, surrendering three runs, striking out four and walking one in a 5-4 defeat to the Nationals in his most recent start. Mark Teixeira (.256, 33 Rs, 18 HRs, 48 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Miami is a slim -115 favorite at home against New York. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently eight runs. The Marlins have an overall money line of -1,194 and a record as the favorite of 14-18. Against the AL, they have a 3-3 record when they were the favorite and 3-6 SU. The Marlins are one of the best in the NL in terms of hits with an impressive 8.9 per game. Miami’s pitchers fall apart when American League teams are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game rises to 5.7 against AL teams, compared to its 4.2 season average.
In games where it is the underdog, New York has a 16-15 record and an overall money line of +317. They played solid baseball as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 3-1 record, and a 7-3 record SU. The Yankees can change the game with one swing of the bat, ranking fourth in the league with 79 home runs. New York is excellent at not striking out n the road with just 7.2 per game, ranking fifth in the AL. When it comes to issuing walks, the Yankees have the fourth-fewest in the AL with an average of just 2.6 walks allowed per game.
The Marlins have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Marlins have a 19-31 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Eovaldi takes the mound. Phelps (RHP) will be on the hill against the Yankees, who have a 25-21 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYY, O/U – Over
Notes
When leading after 7 innings, New York is 13-18, while Miami is 12-19.
The Marlins are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 10 strikeouts. The Yankees have a record of 3-11 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 4-23. The Yankees have a 6-22 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 20th in home runs, Miami has hit 53 this season. New York ranks fourth with 79 home runs.
Both Miami and New York are tied at fifth in hits, notching 8.86 per game.
Ranking 21st, Miami is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.692). New York ranks in the top five at fifth with an OPS of .732.
When the Yankees allow at least one home run, they are 17-23. When the Marlins allow one or more homers, they have a 13-23 record.
