The Philadelphia Phillies will do battle against the Miami Marlins at Citizens Bank Park. Fox SportsNet Florida will televise the action and the opening pitch will be at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Miami (+155) is the underdog to Philadelphia (-165) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at -140 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and +120 for the Phillies -1.5.
The Phillies are 60-48 straight up (SU) and 51-57 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 11.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 14.1 units (ATS). Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Marlins have gone 46-64 SU this year and are 58-52 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 3.5 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 6.3 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Philadelphia games have had an over/under record of 47-56-5 in 2018. The Marlins have been a decent over bet with a total record of 57-51-2.
Jose Urena will get the nod for the visiting Marlins. The right-handed Urena (3-10, 4.40 ERA) has recorded 98 punchouts in 118.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with 10 strikeouts and a 4.91 ERA against Philadelphia this year (two starts).
The Phillies are handing the ball to righty Zach Eflin (7-3, 3.64 ERA), who’s got 72 strikeouts and 18 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.17. Eflin is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against Miami this year.
Philadelphia’s pitchers have given up 4.1 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.80, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 3.84 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 40 divisional games, Phillies starters have an ERA of 3.53 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.28.
The Philadelphia offense is putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .223/.303/.326 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Outfielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez have led the charge for the Phillies’ batters this year. Herrera is slashing .277/.333/.465 with 19 home runs, 58 RBIs and 53 runs scored, and Hernandez is batting .262 with eight homers, 35 RBIs, 66 runs and 14 stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.58 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 7.68 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.14, along with a WHIP of 1.33.
The Marlins offense has slashed .244/.312/.365 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson continue to lead Miami’s hitters. Castro is slashing .287/.334/.402 with eight home runs, 40 RBIs and 62 runs scored. Anderson is slashing .284/.364/.418 with nine homers, 51 RBIs and 63 runs scored.
The Marlins have gained 5.7 units and are 40-40 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 41 of those games, compared to 37 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 8.3 units and are 38-45 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 36 of those games, compared to 43 which went under the total.
Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in five of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
The Marlins have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 20 over their last 10.
Miami has recorded 19.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.0 over its last five.
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