The Miami Marlins will face their divisional rival Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 6:05 p.m. ET and Fox SportsNet Florida is in line to televise the action.
Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Miami (-150) is favored over Philadelphia (+130) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Gamblers can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at +145 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and -155 for the Phillies -1.5.
The Marlins have gone 2-5 SU this year and are 2-5 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.3 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 3.5 units ATS. The Phillies are 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS. The team’s lost 2.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.1 units ATS.
Phillies games have a 2-3-1 over/under record so far in 2018. Miami has an over/under record of 3-4.
The Marlins have lost 0.1 units and are 1-2 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in one of those games, compared to two that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 1.0 units and are 1-0 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in zero of those games, as opposed to one that’ve cashed the under.
Left-hander Dillon Peters (1-0, 0.00 ERA) will get the start for the visiting Marlins. Peters started six games last year while finishing the season 1-2 overall with a 5.17 ERA and a 1.63 WHIP. He made two starts against the Phillies in 2017 and put together a 0-0 record against them with a 1.38 ERA and 12 strikeouts.
The Phils are rolling with righty Vince Velasquez (0-1, 13.50 ERA) as their starter. Velasquez recorded 68 strikeouts in 72 innings last year with 34 walks, while finishing the season 2-7 overall with a 5.13 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP. He made three starts against Miami a year ago and assembled a 1-1 record with a 3.29 ERA and eight strikeouts.
As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have a 3.81 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.92 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.0 K/9. In six divisional games, Phillies starters have an ERA of 3.81 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.92.
Philadelphia’s offense has put up 3.2 runs per contest so far this season and the team has a slash-line of .184/.285/.294 to begin the year.
Outfielder Rhys Hoskins and second baseman Cesar Hernandez have led the Phillies’ hitters so far. Hoskins is slashing .400/.500/.700 with eight hits, three RBIs and three runs scored, and Hernandez’s line is .304/.429/.478 with seven hits, one RBI and three runs.
Compared to his total season slash line of .296/.376/.425, Hernandez enjoyed batting against lefty pitching at home in 2017, slashing .352/.410/.577 across 78 plate appearances.
For the visitors, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.93 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and 8.83 K/9. The bullpen has managed a solid ERA of just 3.12, along with a K-per-9 of 8.26.
Marlins hitters have slashed .223/.309/.289 on their way to 3.3 runs scored per game this season, including over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Miami’s offense has been led by third baseman Brian Anderson and left fielder Derek Dietrich. Anderson is hitting .321/.457/.500 with nine hits, six RBIs and six runs scored, while Dietrich (.281/.361/.438) is up to nine hits, three RBIs and three runs scored.
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Notes
The Phillies went 11-8 SU against the Marlins in 2017.
The Marlins have lost four of their last five games SU
The Marlins’ bullpen managed 4.52 ERA against the Phillies last year.
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