The Miami Marlins will be taking on their division rival Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. Fox SportsNet Florida will televise the matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Miami (+185) is the underdog against Philadelphia (-200) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -120 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and +100 for the Phillies -1.5.
The Marlins are 57-91 SU and have gone 75-72 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.2 units for moneyline bettors and 12.8 units ATS. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 76-71 SU and 68-78 ATS. The team’s lost 0.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 19.8 units ATS.
Phillies games have had an over/under record of 65-75-6 in 2018. The Marlins have an over/under record of 73-69-5.
The right-handed Jose Urena will get the start for Miami. Urena (6-12, 4.29 ERA) has recorded 122 strikeouts in 157.1 innings so far. He’s 1-2 with 20 strikeouts and a 5.09 ERA against Philadelphia this year (four starts).
The Phillies will turn to righty Nick Pivetta (7-12, 4.64 ERA), who has 173 strikeouts and 46 walks to his credit as well as a 1.31 WHIP. Pivetta is 1-1 with 20 strikeouts and a 2.30 ERA over three starts against Miami this year.
As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have a 3.99 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.91 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 65 games against NL East opponents, Phillies starters have an ERA of 4.04 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.34.
The Philadelphia offense is putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.3 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .262/.339/.471 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and right fielder Odubel Herrera have led the Phillies’ batters this year. Hernandez is slashing .257/.360/.361 with 12 home runs, 52 RBIs, 85 runs and 18 stolen bases, while Herrera’s line sits at .257/.314/.427 with 21 homers, 65 RBIs and 62 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.45 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.62 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.48, along with a WHIP of 1.30 and a K/9 of 8.06.
The Marlins offense has slashed .238/.305/.359 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game this season, including 3.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (0-5 SU).
Miami’s hitters have been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is hitting .280/.331/.400 with 11 home runs, 51 RBIs and 72 runs scored, while Anderson (.270/.353/.395) has produced 10 homers, 59 RBIs and 80 runs scored.
The Marlins have gained 0.0 units and are 54-57 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 54 of those games, compared to 52 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Phillies have lost 2.5 units and are 52-59 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 48 of those games, as opposed to 59 that’ve cashed the under.
Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Betting Notes
The over has hit in three of Miami’s last seven games.
The Marlins have dropped seven of their last eight games SU.
Miami has posted 15.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 13.8 over its last five.
The Marlins have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 15 over their last 10.
*****
